5 The Old Orchard, Mangotsfield, Bristol, BS16 9AE

UPRN:653482Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (80)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

5 The Old Orchard, Mangotsfield, Bristol, BS16 9AE

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£240,000

£228k - £252kHigh

Estimate

£240k

Range

£228k – £252k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,350

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,350

Yield

6.75%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

5 The Old Orchard earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 65/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (44/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

65/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

37/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

44/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 24Bike 53

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +0.0% (HIGH), sold-comps +10.4%, £/sqft +10.5%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 653482· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics13.7/40
gross yield 6.8%; range width penalty ×0.98
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1400)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -150/mo, -11% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 205 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
925 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£180,000£276,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£239,995

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,350/mo

Evidenced range £1,250-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £75,599
Net cash flow: £125/mo
Cash on cash: 2.0%
Score at this price: 31

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.67 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 653482Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1400)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1400)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£240,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,350

Gross Yield6.75%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.0%

5y Growth+2.5%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£192,500 (2018-10-02)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BS16 9AE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DOC26/00394
Discharge of condition 2 (construction - trees) attached to planning permission P26/01401/HH. Construction of an outbuilding for ancillary accommodation.
Pending
P26/02399/HH
Installation of 2.4m fence. (Retrospective).
Pending
P26/02376/CLP
Erection of outbuilding to form annexe ancillary to the main dwelling.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership75.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2018-10-02
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

12 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,002

Population Density5,551 /km²

Owner Occupied68%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 62%65+ 17%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Mangotsfield Church of England Primary School
0.3 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Mangotsfield School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Barley Close Community Primary School
0.4 mi
Requires improvementConcerns
Emersons Green Primary School
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

5 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

8 The Old Orchard
-
£240k
-
10 The Old Orchard
-
£275k
-
12 The Old Orchard
-
£545k
-
8 The Old Orchard
-
£235k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN