Flat, 39 Long Down Avenue, Bristol, BS16 1FT

UPRN:653598Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

Flat, 39 Long Down Avenue, Bristol, BS16 1FT

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£243,000

£231k - £255kHigh

Estimate

£243k

Range

£231k – £255k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,350

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,350

Yield

7.04%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 67/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (54/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

67/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

37/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

54/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 14Bike 57

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.1/15
claims [AVM +5.3% (HIGH), sold-comps +2.5%, £/sqft +2.7%] → measured edge +0.42pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 653598· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 12.1%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics16/40
gross yield 7.0%; range width penalty ×0.98
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1400)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -108/mo, -8% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
925 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£172,500£264,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£230,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,350/mo

Evidenced range £1,250-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £72,400
Net cash flow: £158/mo
Cash on cash: 2.6%
Score at this price: 33

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.74 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 653598Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 12.1%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1400)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1400)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£243,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,350

Gross Yield7.04%

1y Growth-12.6%

3y Growth+1.0%

5y Growth+2.5%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£220,000 (2019-11-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BS16 1FT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DOC26/00398
Discharge of Conditions 3 (Air Permeability), 5 (Installation of Renewable Energy Generation), 17 (Secured by Design), attached to planning permission P20/22922/RM Demolition of existing buildings/structures and erection of 268 dwellings (Use Class C3) including affordable homes, vehicular, pedestrian and cycle access from Romney Avenue and Hogarth Avenue, car parking, public open space, landscaping and other associated works with appearance, landscaping, detailed layout and scale to be determined. THIS IS A CROSS BOUNDARY APPLICATION WITH THE LARGER ELEMENT OF LAND FALLING WITHIN THE ADMINISTRATIVE BOUNDARY OF BRISTOL CITY COUNCIL (Ref: 20/05477/M). Reserved matters application to be read in conjunction with South Gloucestershire Council Outline permission PK18/0989/O. (PK18/0989/O - Outline application with all matters reserved (save for access and layout parameters) for demolition of existing buildings/structures and comprehensive redevelopment comprising up to 268 dwellings (Use Class C3) including affordable homes, vehicular, pedestrian and cycle access from Romney Avenue and Hogarth Avenue, car parking, public open space, landscaping and other associated works. THIS WAS A CROSS BOUNDARY APPLICATION WITH THE LARGER ELEMENT OF LAND FALLING WITHIN THE ADMINISTRATIVE BOUNDARY OF BRISTOL CITY COUNCIL (Ref: 18/00703/P)).
Pending
DOC26/00399
Discharge of Condition 23 (Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy ), attached to planning permission PK18/0989/O Outline application with all matters reserved (save for access and layout parameters) for demolition of existing buildings/structures and comprehensive redevelopment comprising up to 268 dwellings (Use Class C3) including affordable homes, vehicular, pedestrian and cycle access from Romney Avenue and Hogarth Avenue, car parking, public open space, landscaping and other associated works. THIS IS A CROSS BOUNDARY APPLICATION WITH THE LARGER ELEMENT OF LAND FALLING WITHIN THE ADMINISTRATIVE BOUNDARY OF BRISTOL CITY COUNCIL (Ref: 18/00703/P)
Pending
P26/02375/F
Erection of 1no detached dwelling and associated works.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership75.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining106 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2019-11-22
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

5 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,002

Population Density1,986 /km²

Owner Occupied57%

Age Distribution

0-15 26%16-64 71%65+ 3%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Wallscourt Farm Academy
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Shield Road Primary School
0.5 mi
Good
University of the West of England, Bristol
0.6 mi
-
Upper Horfield Primary School
0.7 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

3 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

11 Long Down Avenue
-
£210k
-
79 Long Down Avenue
-
£450k
-
129 Long Down Avenue
-
£395k
-
43 Long Down Avenue
-
£237k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN