15 Shawley Way, Epsom, KT18 5NZ

UPRN:68115622Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: C (72)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 5mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£899,000

£854k - £944kHigh

Estimate

£899k

Range

£854k – £944k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,050

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,050

Yield

4.07%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Shawley Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (43/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

8/ 100

Low

Walkability

43/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 14Bike 39

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.1% (HIGH), sold-comps -24.8%, £/sqft -24.8%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 68115622· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.6%· as of 20 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.1%; range width penalty ×0.74
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3050/mo (range 2700-3400)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,685/mo, -55% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 119 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
166 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£675,000£1,035,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£900,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,050/mo

Evidenced range £2,700-£3,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £306,300
Net cash flow: -£926/mo
Cash on cash: -3.6%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.00 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 68115622Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.6%Valuation edge · as of 20 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3050/mo (range 2700-3400)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3050/mo (range 2700-3400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 119 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£899,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,050

Gross Yield4.07%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+8.4%

5y Growth+2.2%

10y Growth+4.1%

Last Sold Price£925,000 (2021-12-20)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0KT18 5NZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01579/HHOLD
Demolition of existing rear extension and rebuild with additional side extension.
Pending
26/01585/HHOLD
Proposed single storey side and rear extension and demolition of existing side garage.
Pending
26/01599/TPO
T1 walnut to reduce the overall size of crown by 2 meters. G1 group of Beech trees to be reduced in height by 3 meters and lateral face over garden reduced by 2.5 meters. This row of trees is causing excessive shading to the house and garden.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership58.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2021-12-20
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

8 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£40,014

Population Density3,185 /km²

Owner Occupied82%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 59%65+ 25%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Shawley Community Primary Academy & Nursery
0.3 mi
Good
Epsom Downs Community School & Early Years Centres
0.6 mi
Inspected as Epsom Downs Primary School and Children's Centre (URN 125127) on 5 Dec 2018
Warren Mead Infant School
0.9 mi
Good
Warren Mead Junior School
0.9 mi
Good

1 of 8 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

4 Shawley Way
-
£1.11M
-
18 Shawley Way
-
£1.03M
-
15 Shawley Way
-
£925k
-
19 Shawley Way
-
£745k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN