3 Ellington Way, Epsom, KT18 5TA

UPRN:68151749Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1991-1995

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 5mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,144,000

£1.09M - £1.20MHigh

Estimate

£1.14M

Range

£1.09M – £1.20M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,900

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,900

Yield

4.07%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Ellington Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (47/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

8/ 100

Low

Walkability

47/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 13Bike 42

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -13.7%, £/sqft -13.8%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 68151749· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 18.4%· as of 18 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.1%; range width penalty ×0.71
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3900/mo (range 3400-4350)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,115/mo, -54% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 139 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
166 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£862,500£1,322,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,150,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,900/mo

Evidenced range £3,400-£4,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £405,050
Net cash flow: -£1,181/mo
Cash on cash: -3.5%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.00 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 68151749Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 18.4%Valuation edge · as of 18 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3900/mo (range 3400-4350)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3900/mo (range 3400-4350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 139 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,144,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,900

Gross Yield4.07%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+8.4%

5y Growth+2.2%

10y Growth+4.1%

Last Sold Price£510,000 (2015-07-09)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0KT18 5TA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01697/TPO
G1 - 2x Beech fell to ground level. Meripilus has been present around the root plate on both trees, (see attached photos).
Pending
25/01140/DET06
Submission of fast charge socket details pursuant to condition 6 of permission 25/01140/CU. Mixed-use comprising ground-floor small HMO (Use Class C4) and two-bedroom self-contained flat at upper floors (Use Class C3), with associated refuse and cycle storage, landscaping and two on-site parking spaces.
Pending
25/01140/DET07
Submission of cycle facilities details pursuant to condition 7 of permission 25/01140/CU. Mixed-use comprising ground-floor small HMO (Use Class C4) and two-bedroom self-contained flat at upper floors (Use Class C3), with associated refuse and cycle storage, landscaping and two on-site parking spaces.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership58.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2015-07-09
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

6 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£40,014

Population Density3,185 /km²

Owner Occupied82%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 59%65+ 25%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Shawley Community Primary Academy & Nursery
0.5 mi
Good
Epsom Downs Community School & Early Years Centres
0.8 mi
Inspected as Epsom Downs Primary School and Children's Centre (URN 125127) on 5 Dec 2018
Warren Mead Infant School
0.8 mi
Good
Epsom College
0.9 mi
Inspected by ISI

1 of 8 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

4 Ellington Way
-
£1.40M
-
10 Ellington Way
-
£780k
-
11 Ellington Way
-
£982k
-
5 Ellington Way
-
£725k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN