38 Arran Drive, Horsforth, Leeds, LS18 5SW

UPRN:72306556Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (63)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 1mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 3mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

38 Arran Drive, Horsforth, Leeds, LS18 5SW

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£422,000

£401k - £443kHigh

Estimate

£422k

Range

£401k – £443k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,750

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,750

Yield

4.67%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

38 Arran Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 53/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (33/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

53/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

33/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 21Bike 15

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -6.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 72306556· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.7%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1850)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -742/mo, -42% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 33 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
274 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,750/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: -£307/mo
Cash on cash: -2.5%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.15 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 72306556Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1850)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 33 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£422,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,750

Gross Yield4.67%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.4%

5y Growth+1.9%

10y Growth+2.8%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1LS18 5SW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/05488/FU
Single-storey rear extension; alterations to roof including new rooflights to rear; new and replacement windows to front and rear; new steps and raised terrace to rear
Pending
26/05494/CLP
Certificate of Proposed Lawful Development for a dormer window to the rear and rooflight to the front
Pending
26/05492/CLP
Certificate of Proposed Lawful Development for a single storey side extension
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership68.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

6 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,679

Population Density-

Owner Occupied92%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 59%65+ 21%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Leeds Trinity University
0.4 mi
-
Westbrook Lane Primary School
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Horsforth School
0.9 mi
Good
Cookridge Holy Trinity Church of England Primary School
1.0 mi
Good

6 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

21 Arran Drive
-
£310k
-
11 Arran Drive
-
£620k
-
26 Arran Drive
-
£605k
-
4 Arran Drive
-
£545k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN