38 Middle Road, Aylesbury, HP21 7AD

UPRN:766026689Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£823,000

£782k - £864kHigh

Estimate

£823k

Range

£782k – £864k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,200

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,200

Yield

4.39%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

38 Middle Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 73/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (56/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

73/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

17/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

56/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 27Bike 29

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -6.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766026689· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.4%; range width penalty ×0.79
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3200/mo (range 2900-3550)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,469/mo, -46% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 379 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
306 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£656,000£1,006,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£875,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,200/mo

Evidenced range £2,900-£3,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £297,550
Net cash flow: -£738/mo
Cash on cash: -3.0%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.08 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766026689Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3200/mo (range 2900-3550)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3200/mo (range 2900-3550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 379 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£823,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,200

Gross Yield4.39%

1y Growth+160.5%

3y Growth+1.1%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1HP21 7AD

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

PL/26/08864/PIP
Application for permission in principle for the demolition of existing storage building and erection of a minimum of five and a maximum of five dwellings and associated works.
Pending
PL/26/08512/FA
Householder application for single storey rear extension.
Pending
PL/26/08456/FA
Householder application for demolition of existing porch, erection of two single storey extensions to existing bungalow. Extension to existing flat roofed garage
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership64.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,937

Population Density4,610 /km²

Owner Occupied85%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 57%65+ 24%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Edward's Catholic Junior School
0.3 mi
Inspected as St Edward's Catholic Junior School (URN 110475) on 13 Nov 2018
Broughton Junior School
0.3 mi
Good
St Joseph's Catholic Infant School
0.3 mi
Inspected as St Joseph's Catholic Infant School (URN 110478) on 5 Nov 2019
Broughton Community Schools (Infants)
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

6 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

28 Middle Road
-
£700k
-
12 Middle Road
-
£685k
-
Mundys Farm Middle Road
-
£263k
-
36 Middle Road
-
£660k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN