11 Rake Way, Aylesbury, HP21 9AL

UPRN:766257661Mid Terrace House1 bedsBuilt 1991-1995

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: D (66)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£210,000

£199k - £220kHigh

Estimate

£210k

Range

£199k – £220k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,100

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,100

Yield

6.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

11 Rake Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 67/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (37/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

67/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

25/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

37/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 26Bike 39

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +4.8% (HIGH), sold-comps +3.9%, £/sqft +3.7%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 14 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766257661· as of 14 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.2%· as of 8 Nov 2026
Rental economics11.9/40
gross yield 6.6%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1150)· as of 14 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -165/mo, -15% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 89 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
306 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£150,000£230,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£199,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,000-£1,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £62,785
Net cash flow: £87/mo
Cash on cash: 1.7%
Score at this price: 29

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.63 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766257661Valuation edge · as of 14 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.2%Valuation edge · as of 8 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1150)Rental economics · as of 14 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1150)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 89 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£210,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,100

Gross Yield6.60%

1y Growth+6.8%

3y Growth+1.1%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price£205,000 (2025-05-21)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HP21 9AL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/26/08085/FA
Installation of 6 electric vehicle charging points to existing school car park and amendment to car parking layout.
Pending
PL/26/08843/SA
Certificate of Lawfulness for proposed new vehicular crossover to 4.6m total width including transition kerbs with associated enlargement of the opening in the front boundary wall, and formation of a permeable hardstanding within the front garden to provide off-street parking for the existing dwellinghouse
Pending
PL/26/08646/CONDA
Application for approval of details subject to condition 5 (contamination) of planning approval PL/25/6376/FA.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership64.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2025-05-21
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

4 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,937

Population Density5,233 /km²

Owner Occupied61%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 70%65+ 11%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The Mandeville School
0.2 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Booker Park Community School
0.3 mi
Good
Ashmead Combined School
0.5 mi
Inspected as Ashmead Combined School (URN 110356) on 15 Jan 2020
Stoke Mandeville Hospital Classes
0.5 mi
-

5 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

8 Rake Way
-
£385k
-
27 Rake Way
-
£430k
-
17 Rake Way
-
£420k
-
11 Rake Way
-
£205k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN