37 Vale Road, Aylesbury, HP20 1JA

UPRN:766259505Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 2mo agoEPC· 2mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£540,000

£486k - £594kMedium

Estimate

£540k

Range

£486k – £594k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

4.40%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

37 Vale Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 73/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (79/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

73/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

33/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

79/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 28Bike 60

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -11.1% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766259505· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.4%; range width penalty ×0.79
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2400)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,044/mo, -47% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 73 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
135 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£450,000£690,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£600,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,950-£2,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £201,300
Net cash flow: -£502/mo
Cash on cash: -3.0%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.09 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766259505Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2400)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 73 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£540,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield4.40%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.7%

5y Growth+2.8%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price£267,500 (2006-12-18)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

3HP20 1JA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/26/08503/SA
Certificate of lawfulness for proposed single storey rear extension
Pending
PL/26/08477/P14JKO
Prior notification application (Part 14, Class J) for solar photovoltaic roof mounted system
Pending
PL/26/07591/EU
Certificate of lawfulness for existing use of the flat roof above the kitchen as a roof terrace serving Room 5.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership47.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2006-12-18
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,937

Population Density4,888 /km²

Owner Occupied56%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 66%65+ 13%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Elmhurst School
0.2 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Stocklake Park Community School
0.3 mi
GoodConcerns
St Louis Catholic Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
Haydon Abbey School and Pre-School
0.8 mi
Requires improvement

4 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

26 Vale Road
-
£405k
-
12 Vale Road
-
£465k
-
5 Vale Road
-
£500k
-
21 Vale Road
-
£500k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN