105 Lark Vale, Aylesbury, HP19 0YP

UPRN:766295812Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: C (72)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshEPC· 2mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£438,000

£416k - £459kHigh

Estimate

£438k

Range

£416k – £459k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,800

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,800

Yield

4.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

105 Lark Vale earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (58/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

15/ 100

Low

Walkability

58/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 34Bike 52

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -2.7% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766295812· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1950)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -705/mo, -39% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 79 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
273 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,800/mo

Evidenced range £1,650-£1,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: -£273/mo
Cash on cash: -2.2%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766295812Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1950)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 79 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£438,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,800

Gross Yield4.80%

1y Growth-11.0%

3y Growth+2.8%

5y Growth+2.4%

10y Growth+2.3%

Last Sold Price£228,000 (2006-04-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1HP19 0YP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/26/08990/KA
Felling of 1x Conifer
Pending
PL/26/08503/SA
Certificate of lawfulness for proposed single storey rear extension
Pending
PL/26/07591/EU
Certificate of lawfulness for existing use of the flat roof above the kitchen as a roof terrace serving Room 5.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership51%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2006-04-28
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

5 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,937

Population Density2,588 /km²

Owner Occupied60%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 71%65+ 13%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Louis Catholic Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Elmhurst School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Stocklake Park Community School
0.6 mi
GoodConcerns
Bierton Church of England Combined School
0.8 mi
-

4 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

91 Lark Vale
-
£435k
-
70 Lark Vale
-
£383k
-
56 Lark Vale
-
£270k
-
129 Lark Vale
-
£385k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN