16 Twelve Leys, Wingrave, Aylesbury, HP22 4QL

UPRN:766314289Detached Bungalow1 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

16 Twelve Leys, Wingrave, Aylesbury, HP22 4QL

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£601,000

£481k - £721kLow

Estimate

£601k

Range

£481k – £721k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,850

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,850

Yield

6.63%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

16 Twelve Leys earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (32/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

32/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 21

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 44% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [sold-comps -48.2%, £/sqft -48.0%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; AVM excluded (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 3 comps, dispersion 20.6%· as of 25 Oct 2026
Rental economics9.3/40
gross yield 6.6%; range width penalty ×0.71; the estimate this rent rides on sits 44% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1600-2050)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 44% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -184/mo, -10% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 57 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.3/15
364 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£301,500£385,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£335,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,850/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£2,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £108,550
Net cash flow: £150/mo
Cash on cash: 1.7%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.64 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 3 comps, dispersion 20.6%Valuation edge · as of 25 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1600-2050)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 44% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1850/mo (range 1600-2050)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 44% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£601,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,850

Gross Yield6.63%

1y Growth-10.2%

3y Growth+0.1%

5y Growth+2.0%

10y Growth+2.0%

Last Sold Price£218,000 (2012-06-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HP22 4QL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/26/08030/FA
Householder application for the replacement of existing outbuilding to rear and adjoining sun room to rear and side with a single storey kitchen extension (to rear and side). New porch to front and pitched roof over existing bay window. Changes to fenestration
Pending
PL/26/07829/SA
Certificate of Lawfulness for proposed single storey extension
Pending
PL/26/07608/KA
Limb removal to reduce pressure being exerted on Summer House causing damage; reduction of crown spread on other limbs by 1 metre to balance weight and pressure on root system and maintain health of tree x 1 Horse Chestnut (T1).
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership69.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2012-06-19
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

9 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,937

Population Density-

Owner Occupied85%

Age Distribution

0-15 14%16-64 61%65+ 25%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Wingrave Church of England Combined School
0.0 mi
-
Macintyre School
0.4 mi
Good
The Cottesloe School
2.1 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Overstone Combined School
2.1 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

5 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

20 Twelve Leys
-
£415k
-
30 Twelve Leys
-
£375k
-
21 Twelve Leys
-
£440k
-
32 Twelve Leys
-
£325k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN