15 The Granary, Warren Farm, Warren Road, Little Horwood, Milton Keynes, MK17 0PZ

UPRN:766325254Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 2007 onwards

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

15 The Granary, Warren Farm, Warren Road, Little Horwood, Milton Keynes, MK17 0PZ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£248,000

£236k - £261kHigh

Estimate

£248k

Range

£236k – £261k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,300

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,300

Yield

6.24%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 The Granary earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 62/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (5/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

62/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

5/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 34Bike 23

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM -0.8% (HIGH), sold-comps +11.0%, £/sqft +11.0%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766325254· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 3 comps, dispersion 10.3%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics9.6/40
gross yield 6.2%; range width penalty ×0.97
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1250-1400)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -327/mo, -25% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 297 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
280 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£187,500£287,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£249,995

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,300/mo

Evidenced range £1,250-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £78,799
Net cash flow: £56/mo
Cash on cash: 0.9%
Score at this price: 27

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.54 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766325254Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 3 comps, dispersion 10.3%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1250-1400)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1300/mo (range 1250-1400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 297 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£248,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,300

Gross Yield6.24%

1y Growth+12.3%

3y Growth-2.1%

5y Growth+1.5%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price£230,000 (2017-12-05)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0MK17 0PZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/26/08548/SA
Certificate of Lawfulness for proposed use of the land for storage purposes within Use Class B8, as approved under planning permission PL/26/02743/FA, for the storage of containers and/or vehicles, motorhomes, caravans and trailers, in any combination
Pending
PL/26/05649/FA
Laying of hardstanding and replacement fence and gate to the southern boundary in connection with the existing use of the site as a (Use Class B8) commercial van depot facility (retrospective).
Pending
PL/26/03618/FA
Installation of fencing, gate and crossover to create new vehicle access to Unit 1
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership74.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2017-12-05
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

2 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,937

Population Density75 /km²

Owner Occupied83%

Age Distribution

0-15 15%16-64 62%65+ 23%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Great Horwood Church of England School
1.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Whaddon CofE School
1.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Priory Rise School
2.1 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Mursley Church of England School
2.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

1 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Warren Farm Warren Road
-
£490k
-
Warren Farm Warren Road
-
£368k
-
Warren Farm Warren Road
-
£505k
-
Warren Farm Warren Road
-
£265k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN