31 Lewis Close, Aylesbury, HP19 9AW

UPRN:766328626Detached House5 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: B (82)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£572,000

£543k - £600kHigh

Estimate

£572k

Range

£543k – £600k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,350

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,350

Yield

4.90%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

31 Lewis Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (49/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

49/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 16Bike 49

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -25.3%, £/sqft -25.2%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766328626· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 7.5%· as of 22 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.9%; range width penalty ×0.86
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2350/mo (range 2150-2550)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -829/mo, -35% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 112 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
273 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£431,000£661,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£575,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,350/mo

Evidenced range £2,150-£2,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £192,550
Net cash flow: -£314/mo
Cash on cash: -2.0%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.21 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766328626Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 7.5%Valuation edge · as of 22 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2350/mo (range 2150-2550)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2350/mo (range 2150-2550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 112 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£572,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,350

Gross Yield4.90%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.8%

5y Growth+2.4%

10y Growth+2.3%

Last Sold Price£420,000 (2017-10-13)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HP19 9AW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/26/08360/CONDA
Application for approval of details reserved by condition 30 (energy usage and sustainability statement) of planning approval PL/26/01035/VRC
Pending
PL/26/08034/CONDA
Application for approval of details subject to condition 11 (means of access) of planning approval PL/26/01035/VRC
Pending
PL/26/07517/FA
Proposed vehicular access and driveway
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership51%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2017-10-13
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,937

Population Density413 /km²

Owner Occupied62%

Age Distribution

0-15 30%16-64 65%65+ 5%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Buckingham Park Church of England Primary School
0.1 mi
Good
The Pace Centre
0.8 mi
Outstanding
Haydon Abbey School and Pre-School
0.8 mi
Requires improvement
The Buckinghamshire Primary Pupil Referral Unit
0.8 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

1 Lewis Close
-
£290k
-
7 Lewis Close
-
£335k
-
9 Lewis Close
-
£320k
-
31 Lewis Close
-
£420k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN