Flat 18, 15 Keats Mews, Manchester, M23 9SG

UPRN:77042216Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (61)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 18, 15 Keats Mews, Manchester, M23 9SG

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£184,000

£175k - £193kHigh

Estimate

£184k

Range

£175k – £193k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,400

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,400

Yield

9.08%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 18 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is limited (61/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021HM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

61/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 34Bike 37

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -1.6%, £/sqft -1.5%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 77042216· as of 10 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 7%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics32.2/40
gross yield 9.1%; range width penalty ×0.99
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1350-1500)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin8.5/30
stressed cash flow +119/mo, +8% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 173 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
215 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £162,000

£139,000£212,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£185,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,400/mo

Evidenced range £1,350-£1,500

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £58,000
Net cash flow: £345/mo
Cash on cash: 7.1%
Score at this price: 55

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.24 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 77042216Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 7%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1350-1500)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1400/mo (range 1350-1500)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £162,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£184,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,400

Gross Yield9.08%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.8%

5y Growth+5.5%

10y Growth+6.7%

Last Sold Price£140,000 (2020-12-07)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0M23 9SG

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

OTH-2026-002077
Works to trees - proposed felling of a Norway Maple and pruning works to a Beech and Lime.
Pending
120220/HHA/26
Demolition of existing garage and erection of detached garden room
Pending
PLA-2026-001825
Variation of Condition 2 (specified plans), 4 (obscure glaze windows) and 5 (materials) attached to planning permission 143744/FH/2025 for the erection of single-storey side and rear extension and extension to front porch and elevational alterations to allow changes to materials and fenestration.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership50.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining121 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2020-12-07
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

19 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,067

Population Density3,277 /km²

Owner Occupied76%

Age Distribution

0-15 15%16-64 55%65+ 30%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Sandilands Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Heyes Lane Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
Sale High School
0.7 mi
Inspected as Sale High School (URN 106375) on 17 Dec 2024
Brooklands Primary School
0.7 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

3 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

17 Keats Mews
-
£170k
-
17 Keats Mews
-
£162k
-
17 Keats Mews
-
£167k
-
17 Keats Mews
-
£136k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN