199 Errwood Road, Manchester, M19 1JB

UPRN:77158160Semi-Detached House5 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (60)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£438,000

£416k - £460kHigh

Estimate

£438k

Range

£416k – £460k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,550

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,550

Yield

4.90%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

199 Errwood Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 72/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is good (74/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021HM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

72/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

74/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 34Bike 53

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -42.7% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 77158160· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.9%; range width penalty ×0.96
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2550/mo (range 2400-2700)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -892/mo, -35% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 293 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
312 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£469,000£719,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£625,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,550/mo

Evidenced range £2,400-£2,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £210,050
Net cash flow: -£344/mo
Cash on cash: -2.0%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.21 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 77158160Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2550/mo (range 2400-2700)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2550/mo (range 2400-2700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 293 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£438,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,550

Gross Yield4.90%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.6%

5y Growth+3.9%

10y Growth+6.5%

Last Sold Price£300,000 (2025-04-17)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseBelow 40 dB

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0M19 1JB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PLA-2026-002040
Retention of front extension.
Pending
PLA-2026-001721
Erection of two-storey rear extension following demolition of front porch and single-storey rear extension including elevational alterations.
Pending
NOT-2026-001487
Prior notification of proposed larger home extension projecting 4.4m to the rear with a maximum height of 2.7m and a height at eaves of 2.4m.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership55.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsNone
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2025-04-17
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

10 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,067

Population Density5,542 /km²

Owner Occupied48%

Age Distribution

0-15 27%16-64 62%65+ 11%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Bernard's RC Primary School Manchester
0.2 mi
Good
Green End Primary School
0.2 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Burnage Academy for Boys
0.3 mi
Outstanding
Heaton School
0.5 mi
Requires improvementConcerns

7 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

199 Errwood Road
-
£300k
-
191 - 195 Errwood Road
-
£195k
-
195 Errwood Road
-
£190k
-
213 Errwood Road
-
£230k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN