15 Elbow Street, Manchester, M19 3PY

UPRN:77164077Mid Terrace House2 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£238,000

£226k - £250kHigh

Estimate

£238k

Range

£226k – £250k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,500

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,500

Yield

7.83%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Elbow Street earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is excellent (87/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

87/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 56Bike 57

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +3.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -3.1%, £/sqft -3.1%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 77164077· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 15.9%· as of 5 Nov 2026
Rental economics22.6/40
gross yield 7.8%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1450-1600)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0.1/30
stressed cash flow +2/mo, +0% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 157 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
312 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £172,500

£172,500£264,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£230,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,500/mo

Evidenced range £1,450-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £72,400
Net cash flow: £262/mo
Cash on cash: 4.3%
Score at this price: 37

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.93 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 77164077Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 15.9%Valuation edge · as of 5 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1450-1600)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1500/mo (range 1450-1600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 157 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £172,500 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£238,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,500

Gross Yield7.83%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.6%

5y Growth+3.9%

10y Growth+6.5%

Last Sold Price£197,000 (2022-09-23)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0M19 3PY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

NOT-2026-002051
Works to tree - T1 Willow tree - fell
Pending
PLA-2026-001710
Use of part of the house for homeworking related to a single private hire operator.
Pending
PLA-2026-001971
Retrospective application for the replacement and repositioning of rear windows and doors and alterations to the rear and side boundary wall.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership55.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2022-09-23
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

4 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,067

Population Density9,681 /km²

Owner Occupied46%

Age Distribution

0-15 24%16-64 70%65+ 6%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Manchester Vocational and Learning Academy
0.1 mi
Good
Alma Park Primary School
0.1 mi
Good
Chapel Street Community Primary School
0.3 mi
-
St Mary's RC Primary School, Manchester, A Voluntary Academy
0.3 mi
Inspected as St Mary's RC Primary School Manchester (URN 105534) on 9 Jun 2026

7 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

32 Elbow Street
-
£225k
-
17 Elbow Street
-
£194k
-
15 Elbow Street
-
£197k
-
30 Elbow Street
-
£245k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN