15 Thoralby Close, Manchester, M12 4NW

UPRN:77166914Semi-Detached House2 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£217,000

£196k - £239kMedium

Estimate

£217k

Range

£196k – £239k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,550

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,550

Yield

8.09%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Thoralby Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 73/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is good (83/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021HM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

73/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

83/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 46Bike 44

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -6.0% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 77166914· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics24.7/40
gross yield 8.1%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1450-1600)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin2.5/30
stressed cash flow +39/mo, +3% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 73 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
77 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £178,000

£172,500£264,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£230,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,550/mo

Evidenced range £1,450-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £72,400
Net cash flow: £297/mo
Cash on cash: 4.9%
Score at this price: 40

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.00 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 77166914Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1450-1600)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1550/mo (range 1450-1600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 73 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £178,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£217,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,550

Gross Yield8.09%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.5%

5y Growth+5.0%

10y Growth+4.4%

Last Sold Price£100,000 (2012-12-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0M12 4NW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PLA-2026-001490
Erection of single storey side extension and part two storey rear extension.
Pending
OTH-2026-002057
Discharge of Conditions 1 (Materials), 4 (Windows), 6 (Drainage Verification), 7 (Roller Shutters), 10 (Waste Management), 11 (Air Quality Assessment), 14 (Travel Plan), 15 (EV Chargers), 16 (External Lighting), 18 (Acoustic Insulation), 19 (External Equipment), 20 (Environmental Statement), 21 (Ground Conditions), 23 (Biodiversity), 24 (Landscaping and Tree Replacement), 25 (Boundary Treatment), 26 (Security), 27 (Off site highway works), and 32 (Car Park Management Plan) attached to Planning Permission 142669/FO/2025.
Pending
OTH-2026-001682
Discharge of Condition 8 (Contaminated Land) attached to planning permission 138527/FO/2023
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership43.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2012-12-12
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

4 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,067

Population Density2,165 /km²

Owner Occupied38%

Age Distribution

0-15 26%16-64 64%65+ 10%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Rodney House School
0.1 mi
Outstanding
St Peter's RC High School
0.2 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Stanley Grove Primary Academy
0.3 mi
Inspected as Stanley Grove Community Primary School (URN 131543) on 13 Jul 2011
St John's CofE Primary School
0.4 mi
Good

5 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

8 Thoralby Close
-
£290k
-
3 Thoralby Close
-
£240k
-
7 Thoralby Close
-
£240k
-
11 Thoralby Close
-
£169k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN