10 Provident Avenue, Manchester, M19 3HT

UPRN:77171969End Terrace HouseBeds -Built 1900-1929

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: D (61)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

10 Provident Avenue, Manchester, M19 3HT

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: AVOID, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Significant risk factors

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£233,000

£186k - £279kLow

Estimate

£233k

Range

£186k – £279k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,500

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,500

Yield

11.25%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

10 Provident Avenue earns an AVOID rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 57/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is good (74/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

57/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

74/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 35Bike 55

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 31% above the ask; lead to verify: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [sold-comps +6.4%, £/sqft +6.2%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; AVM excluded (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 8.9%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics40/40
gross yield 11.2%; range width penalty ×1.00; the estimate this rent rides on sits 31% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1550)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 31% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin19.8/30
stressed cash flow +297/mo, +20% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 36 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.3/15
312 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 80+ up to £132,000

£120,000£184,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£160,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,500/mo

Evidenced range £1,400-£1,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £50,000
Net cash flow: £498/mo
Cash on cash: 12.0%
Score at this price: 72

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.78 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 8.9%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1550)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 31% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptions

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1550)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 31% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £132,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£233,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,500

Gross Yield11.25%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.6%

5y Growth+3.9%

10y Growth+6.5%

Last Sold Price£82,500 (2007-11-24)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0M19 3HT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PLA-2026-001710
Use of part of the house for homeworking related to a single private hire operator.
Pending
PLA-2026-001965
Erection of single storey extension and installation of rear dormer.
Pending
PLA-2026-001780
Install an EV charger on property wall parallel to Griffin Grove.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership55.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining6 yrs
CovenantsNone
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2007-11-24
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

4 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,067

Population Density-

Owner Occupied50%

Age Distribution

0-15 25%16-64 66%65+ 9%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Chapel Street Community Primary School
0.3 mi
-
Grange School
0.3 mi
Outstanding
Cedar Mount Academy
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Melland High School
0.4 mi
Outstanding

5 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

2 Provident Avenue
-
£195k
-
6 Provident Avenue
-
£88k
-
10 Provident Avenue
-
£83k
-
2 Provident Avenue
-
£115k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN