512 Southmead Road, Westbury-on-Trym, Bristol, BS10 5NF

UPRN:9951Mid Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

512 Southmead Road, Westbury-on-Trym, Bristol, BS10 5NF

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£268,000

£255k - £282kHigh

Estimate

£268k

Range

£255k – £282k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,150

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,150

Yield

4.31%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

512 Southmead Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is good (79/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

51/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

79/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 25Bike 48

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -19.4% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 9951· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.3%; range width penalty ×0.85
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1250)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -635/mo, -55% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 125 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
248 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£240,000£368,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£320,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,050-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £103,300
Net cash flow: -£284/mo
Cash on cash: -3.3%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.06 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 9951Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1250)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 125 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£268,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,150

Gross Yield4.31%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.5%

5y Growth+4.0%

10y Growth+4.7%

Last Sold Price£128,500 (2011-08-02)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2BS10 5NF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P26/02434/HH
Erection of single storey wrap around extension to form additional living accommodation.
Pending
P26/02314/HH
Erection of single storey rear extension to form additional living accommodation.
Pending
P26/02316/CLP
Erection of hip to gable roof extension and installation of 1no. rear dormer to facilitate loft conversion.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership86.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2011-08-02
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,051

Population Density2,512 /km²

Owner Occupied58%

Age Distribution

0-15 15%16-64 65%65+ 20%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Teresa's Catholic Primary School
0.2 mi
GoodConcerns
Fonthill Primary Academy
0.2 mi
Good
Orchard School Bristol
0.5 mi
-
Horfield Church of England Primary School
0.6 mi
Inspected as Horfield Church of England Primary School (URN 109143) on 16 Apr 2024

4 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

552 Southmead Road
-
£326k
-
532 Southmead Road
-
£315k
-
524 Southmead Road
-
£255k
-
496 Southmead Road
-
£280k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN