Apartment 707, Lincoln Gate, 39 Red Bank, Manchester, M4 4AD

UPRN:10023046761Flat/Maisonette3 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 5mo agoRisk· 2y agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Apartment 707, Lincoln Gate, 39 Red Bank, Manchester, M4 4AD

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£193,000

£183k - £202kHigh

Estimate

£193k

Range

£183k – £202k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,150

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,150

Yield

7.08%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Apartment 707 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 83/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Walkability is excellent (91/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

83/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

91/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 64Bike 48

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 21 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -1.0% (HIGH), sold-comps -19.6%, £/sqft -19.4%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10023046761· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 14.8%· as of 20 Oct 2026
Rental economics16.6/40
gross yield 7.1%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1100-1200)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -107/mo, -9% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 21 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 372 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 21 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
289 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£146,000£224,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£195,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,100-£1,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £61,200
Net cash flow: £138/mo
Cash on cash: 2.7%
Score at this price: 31

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.75 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10023046761Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 14.8%Valuation edge · as of 20 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1100-1200)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 21 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 21 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1150/mo (range 1100-1200)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£193,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,150

Gross Yield7.08%

1y Growth+97.7%

3y Growth-8.3%

5y Growth-2.6%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£175,000 (2017-09-29)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0M4 4AD

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

145196/FO/2026
Proposed change of use from Storage (class B8) to Pilates studio (class E-d) with cafe and licensed (Sui Generis).
Pending
Manchester/PLA-2026-000264
Partial demolition of existing external wall, and erection of a two storey front extension and first floor ancillary storage to existing cash and carry units, with associated external staircases and amendments to car parking arrangements.
Pending
Manchester/OTH-2026-001794
Discharge of Condition 7b (Ground conditions) attached to planning permission 132252/VO/2021
Pending

View Planning Timeline