1B Victoria Road, Erith, DA8 3AN

UPRN:100020237754Semi-Detached HouseBeds -Built 1967-1975

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band EEPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Listing· freshOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£574,000

£517k - £631kMedium

Estimate

£574k

Range

£517k – £631k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,000

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,000

Yield

6.86%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1B Victoria Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 58/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is excellent (85/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

58/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

100

Crime Score

100/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

85/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 67Bike 67

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +8.5% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +4.7%, £/sqft +4.7%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100020237754· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.1%· as of 27 Oct 2026
Rental economics13.4/40
gross yield 6.9%; range width penalty ×0.90
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3000/mo (range 2750-3200)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -140/mo, -5% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 31 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
232 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£394,000£604,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£525,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,000/mo

Evidenced range £2,750-£3,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £175,050
Net cash flow: £305/mo
Cash on cash: 2.1%
Score at this price: 29

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.69 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100020237754Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.1%Valuation edge · as of 27 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3000/mo (range 2750-3200)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3000/mo (range 2750-3200)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 31 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£574,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,000

Gross Yield6.86%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.8%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+2.7%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

3DA8 3AN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02065/FUL
Installation of 2.4m fence to form van loading and parking compound, incorporating vehicle access gates and fire escape/click & collect access gate.
Pending
26/02018/LDCP
Lawful Development Certificate (Proposed) for the change of use from a dwellinghouse (Class C3) to a Residential Institution (Class C2) for up to 4 children.
Pending
19/02274/FULM05
Application to approve details of condition 11 (details of access) and 12 (proposed access)pursuant to application 19/02274/FULM for Demolition of the existing buildings and erection of 25 dwellings comprising 5 x 4 bed, 7 x 3 bed, 5 x 2 bed houses and 8 x 1 bed supported living apartments together with car parking and associated works
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership63.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,883

Population Density3,829 /km²

Owner Occupied33%

Age Distribution

0-15 23%16-64 59%65+ 18%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Christ Church (Erith) CofE Primary School
0.1 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Lime Wood Primary School
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Leigh Academy Bexley
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
St Fidelis Catholic Primary School
0.5 mi
OutstandingImproving

2 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

7 Victoria Road
-
£540k
-
5 Victoria Road
-
£397k
-
3 Victoria Road
-
£400k
-
2A Victoria Road
-
£448k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN