44 Ashurst Close, London, SE20 8LY

UPRN:100020430784Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (63)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£320,000

£304k - £336kHigh

Estimate

£320k

Range

£304k – £336k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,950

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,950

Yield

6.59%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

44 Ashurst Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 71/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is good (79/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

71/ 100

High

Crime Score

41/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

79/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 63Bike 56

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 12 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -10.9% (HIGH), sold-comps -19.1%, £/sqft -19.1%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 14 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100020430784· as of 14 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 10.1%· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics12/40
gross yield 6.6%; range width penalty ×0.94
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1850-2100)· as of 14 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -194/mo, -10% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 12 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 255 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 12 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
208 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£266,000£408,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£355,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,950/mo

Evidenced range £1,850-£2,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £115,550
Net cash flow: £152/mo
Cash on cash: 1.6%
Score at this price: 25

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.63 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100020430784Valuation edge · as of 14 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 10.1%Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1850-2100)Rental economics · as of 14 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 12 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 12 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1950/mo (range 1850-2100)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£320,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,950

Gross Yield6.59%

1y Growth+11.1%

3y Growth+0.9%

5y Growth-0.6%

10y Growth+1.1%

Last Sold Price£265,000 (2026-01-08)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SE20 8LY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/04368/HPA
Demolition of existing rear conservatory, construction of single storey rear extension.
Pending
22/03824/CON2
Details submitted to comply with the requirements of the following conditions relating to planning permission 22/03824/FULL1: Condition 16 - Existing site levels and proposed slab levels and ridge heights
Pending
22/03824/CON1
Details submitted to comply with the requirements of the following conditions relating to planning permission 22/03824/FULL1: Condition 3 - Construction and Environmental Management Plan
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership66.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining145 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2026-01-08
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£43,981

Population Density-

Owner Occupied36%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 74%65+ 8%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

James Dixon Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
St Anthony's Catholic Primary School
0.3 mi
Inspected as St Anthony's Roman Catholic Primary School (URN 101654) on 2 Mar 2016
Harris Primary Academy Crystal Palace
0.4 mi
Inspected as Malcolm Primary School (URN 101629) on 9 Oct 2012
Harris City Academy Crystal Palace
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

4 of 14 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

44 Ashurst Close
-
£265k
-
4 Ashurst Close
-
£265k
-
2 Ashurst Close
-
£335k
-
40 Ashurst Close
-
£270k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN