Ground Floor Flat, 23 Padua Road, Penge, London, SE20 8HF

UPRN:100020440909Flat/Maisonette1 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (70)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 1mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Ground Floor Flat, 23 Padua Road, Penge, London, SE20 8HF

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£323,000

£307k - £340kHigh

Estimate

£323k

Range

£307k – £340k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,950

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,950

Yield

7.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Ground Floor Flat earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 75/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is excellent (88/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

75/ 100

High

Crime Score

44/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

88/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 61Bike 57

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +7.1% (HIGH), sold-comps +9.1%, £/sqft +9.0%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100020440909· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 19.7%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics21.1/40
gross yield 7.8%; range width penalty ×0.94
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2050)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin1.9/30
stressed cash flow +38/mo, +2% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 105 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
208 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £232,500

£225,000£345,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£300,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,950/mo

Evidenced range £1,800-£2,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £96,300
Net cash flow: £337/mo
Cash on cash: 4.2%
Score at this price: 40

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.93 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100020440909Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 19.7%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2050)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2050)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £232,500 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£323,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,950

Gross Yield7.80%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.9%

5y Growth-0.6%

10y Growth+1.1%

Last Sold Price£193,500 (2008-02-09)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1SE20 8HF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/04351/HPA
Roof alterations comprising the removal of existing chimneys, alterations to and enlargement of the existing rear roof dormer including two rooflights, extension of the parapet wall, and associated elevational changes.
Pending
22/03824/CON2
Details submitted to comply with the requirements of the following conditions relating to planning permission 22/03824/FULL1: Condition 16 - Existing site levels and proposed slab levels and ridge heights
Pending
26/04270/LDC
Erection of single-storey timber outbuilding within rear garden. LAWFUL DEVELOPMENT CERTIFICATE (PROPOSED)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership66.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2008-02-09
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

14 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£43,981

Population Density-

Owner Occupied24%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 72%65+ 10%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Anthony's Catholic Primary School
0.2 mi
Inspected as St Anthony's Roman Catholic Primary School (URN 101654) on 2 Mar 2016
St John's Church of England Primary School
0.3 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Harris Primary Academy Crystal Palace
0.3 mi
Inspected as Malcolm Primary School (URN 101629) on 9 Oct 2012
Harris Primary Academy Kent House
0.4 mi
Outstanding

4 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

30 Padua Road
-
£423k
-
6 Padua Road
-
£215k
-
35 Padua Road
-
£600k
-
30 Padua Road
-
£393k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN