9 Lancaster Close, Kingston upon Thames, KT2 5NH

UPRN:100021763373Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (68)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

9 Lancaster Close, Kingston upon Thames, KT2 5NH

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

6 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£399,000

£379k - £419kHigh

Estimate

£399k

Range

£379k – £419k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,750

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,750

Yield

5.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

9 Lancaster Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (59/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

8/ 100

Low

Walkability

59/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 36Bike 68

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge1.2/15
claims [AVM +6.0% (HIGH), sold-comps +1.6%, £/sqft +1.5%] → measured edge +0.25pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100021763373· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics4.1/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.86
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1900)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -426/mo, -24% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 164 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
259 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,750/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: -£54/mo
Cash on cash: -0.5%
Score at this price: 20

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.38 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100021763373Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1900)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1900)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£399,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,750

Gross Yield5.60%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.0%

5y Growth-0.7%

10y Growth+1.8%

Last Sold Price£245,500 (2011-04-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0KT2 5NH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PA26/3629
Details pursuant to condition C2. Sample panel of brickwork, C3. Materials, C5. Brick storage, and C6. materials to match existing, of listed building consent PA26/2288.
Pending
PA26/3686
T012 Oak tree - fell
Pending
PA26/3586
T1 Scots Pine (Pinus sylvestris) Remove small limb to west at circa 11m, that curves down into lowest limb to west. Reduce/reshape top of tree to west by 1-2m, to inline with natural shape of crown. Reduce overhang to property by up to 1m.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership45.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2011-04-01
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£41,833

Population Density4,744 /km²

Owner Occupied74%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 60%65+ 19%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The Tiffin Girls' School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Malden Oaks School and Tuition Service
0.3 mi
Good
The Kingston Academy
0.4 mi
Outstanding
Fern Hill Primary School
0.4 mi
Outstanding

5 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

14 Lancaster Close
-
£368k
-
Garage10 Lancaster Close
-
£32k
-
Garage 15 Lancaster Close
-
£32k
-
Garage 14 Lancaster Close
-
£30k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN