103 Paxton Road, London, SE23 2QH

UPRN:100021994286Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: B (83)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£314,000

£283k - £346kMedium

Estimate

£314k

Range

£283k – £346k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,400

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,400

Yield

6.22%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

103 Paxton Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 81/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (81/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

81/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

81/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 53Bike 48

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +14.0% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -5.9%, £/sqft -5.8%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100021994286· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 7.3%· as of 6 Nov 2026
Rental economics8.2/40
gross yield 6.2%; range width penalty ×0.84
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1250-1500)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -240/mo, -17% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 66 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
330 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£202,500£310,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£270,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,400/mo

Evidenced range £1,250-£1,500

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £85,800
Net cash flow: £58/mo
Cash on cash: 0.8%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.54 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100021994286Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 7.3%Valuation edge · as of 6 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1250-1500)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1400/mo (range 1250-1500)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£314,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,400

Gross Yield6.22%

1y Growth-8.2%

3y Growth-1.0%

5y Growth-0.6%

10y Growth+0.8%

Last Sold Price£166,000 (2007-04-17)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SE23 2QH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DC/26/145929
Schedule 1 application for the demolition of an existing structure and construction of a like for like ground floor rear extension,together with all associated works, at 86 Hurstbourne Road, SE23 2AQ.
Pending
DC/26/145907
Schedule 1 application for the replacement of the existing windows and rear door on the property with new slimline double glazed timber framed windows on the front elevation, uPVC framed windows on the side and rear elevations and a new uPVC door on the rear elevation 83 Peak Hill SE26.
Pending
DC/26/145903
Details submitted pursuant to Condition 7-Cycle Parking Facilities and Condition 16-Ultra-Low NOx Gas Fired Boilers of planning permission DC/24/137485 dated 20th June 2025 at Land to the Rear of Cheney Court, Waldram Park Road SE23.
Pending

View Planning Timeline