Flat 3, Arnold Court, 38 Chelmsford Road, London, E18 2PN

UPRN:100022249478Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 3, Arnold Court, 38 Chelmsford Road, London, E18 2PN

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£340,000

£306k - £374kMedium

Estimate

£340k

Range

£306k – £374k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,700

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,700

Yield

5.23%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 3 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 85/100. Investment score 79/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (78/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

85/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

79/ 100

High

Crime Score

15/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

78/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 38Bike 67

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -14.7% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100022249478· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics1.8/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.96
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1800)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -526/mo, -31% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
187 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£292,500£448,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£390,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,700/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £127,800
Net cash flow: -£139/mo
Cash on cash: -1.3%
Score at this price: 14

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.29 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100022249478Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1800)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1800)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£340,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,700

Gross Yield5.23%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.9%

5y Growth+0.5%

10y Growth+1.6%

Last Sold Price£230,000 (2020-06-09)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0E18 2PN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2898/26
Single storey rear extension with a depth of 4.00 metres, highest point of 3.00 metres and height at the eaves of 2.90 metres.
Pending
2836/26
1no. internally illuminated fascia sign and 1no. internally illuminated projecting sign. (Summary).
Pending
2827/26
Part first floor rear extension. (Summary).
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership47.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining126 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2020-06-09
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

12 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£37,190

Population Density-

Owner Occupied75%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 65%65+ 15%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Aubyn's School
0.3 mi
Inspected by ISI
Churchfields Junior School
0.3 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Churchfields Infants' School
0.5 mi
Outstanding
Woodford County High School
0.6 mi
Good

5 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Arnold Court Chelmsford Road
-
£230k
-
Arnold Court Chelmsford Road
-
£210k
-
Arnold Court Chelmsford Road
-
£175k
-
Arnold Court Chelmsford Road
-
£85k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN