Forge House, Ashford Road, Bethersden, Ashford, TN26 3AP

UPRN:100060776635Detached House3 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: E (45)

Data freshness:Planning· 2mo agoEPC· 5mo agoRisk· 2y agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Forge House, Ashford Road, Bethersden, Ashford, TN26 3AP

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£330,000

£297k - £363kMedium

Estimate

£330k

Range

£297k – £363k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,300

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,300

Yield

5.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Forge House earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 57/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (23/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

57/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

23/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 10Bike 44

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 24 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +9.1% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +58.7%, £/sqft +58.7%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100060776635· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 13.3%· as of 18 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.3/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1150-1400)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -440/mo, -34% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 24 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 232 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 24 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
94 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£225,000£345,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£300,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,300/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £96,300
Net cash flow: -£113/mo
Cash on cash: -1.4%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.28 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100060776635Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 13.3%Valuation edge · as of 18 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1150-1400)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 24 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 24 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1300/mo (range 1150-1400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 232 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£330,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,300

Gross Yield5.20%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.8%

5y Growth+3.2%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseHigh

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1TN26 3AP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PA/2026/1756
Lawful Development Certificate - Existing - Confirmation of lawful commencement of the planning permission 22/00972/AS
Pending
PA/2026/1727
Single-storey outbuilding (Partially retrospective)
Pending
OTH/2026/1607
Details submitted pursuant to Conditions 8 (District Level Licence - Great Crested Newts) & part discharge of 10 (Bat Mitigation Strategy and Licence) of planning permission PA/2024/0820
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership83.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,991

Population Density64 /km²

Owner Occupied75%

Age Distribution

0-15 15%16-64 57%65+ 28%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Bethersden Primary School
0.1 mi
Good
High Halden Church of England Primary School
2.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Chilmington Green School
2.8 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Chilmington Green Primary School
3.1 mi
Good

4 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Waylands Farm Lowood Ashford Road
-
£895k
-
Redcedar Ashford Road
-
£800k
-
Newtown Ashford Road
-
£380k
-
West Low Wood Cottage Ashford Road
-
£600k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN