53 Townsend, Hemel Hempstead, HP2 5SP

UPRN:100080708115Purpose Built Flat3 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£221,000

£210k - £232kHigh

Estimate

£221k

Range

£210k – £232k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,350

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,350

Yield

7.71%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

53 Townsend earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (69/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

25/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

69/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 20Bike 56

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge2.3/15
claims [AVM +5.0% (HIGH), sold-comps +2.8%, £/sqft +2.8%] → measured edge +0.46pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100080708115· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 6.9%· as of 3 Nov 2026
Rental economics21.2/40
gross yield 7.7%; range width penalty ×0.98
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1400)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -25/mo, -2% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 64 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
337 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £157,500

£157,500£241,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£210,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,350/mo

Evidenced range £1,250-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £66,000
Net cash flow: £226/mo
Cash on cash: 4.1%
Score at this price: 38

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.90 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100080708115Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 6.9%Valuation edge · as of 3 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1400)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 64 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £157,500 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£221,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,350

Gross Yield7.71%

1y Growth+4.8%

3y Growth-0.2%

5y Growth+1.3%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price£230,000 (2023-08-11)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HP2 5SP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02334/FUL
Part single-storey, part two-storey rear extension to allow for a larger flat on the first floor.
Pending
26/02335/RPB
Change of use of the ground floor from shop (Use Class E) to 1 flats (Class C3) .
Pending
26/02182/LDP
Erection of a front entrance porch extension and replacement of the existing flat porch roof with a pitched tiled roof.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership56.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining87 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2023-08-11
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

5 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,473

Population Density-

Owner Occupied27%

Age Distribution

0-15 29%16-64 61%65+ 10%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

George Street Primary School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
St Cuthbert Mayne Voluntary Catholic Junior Academy
0.5 mi
Inspected as St Cuthbert Mayne Catholic Junior School (URN 117468) on 18 Dec 2018
Gade Valley Primary School
0.6 mi
Good
Yewtree Primary School
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

3 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

37 Townsend
-
£225k
-
27 Townsend
-
£420k
-
41 Townsend
-
£240k
-
23 Townsend
-
£390k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN