16 Elstree Road, Bushey Heath, Bushey, WD23 4GG

UPRN:10013018760Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

16 Elstree Road, Bushey Heath, Bushey, WD23 4GG

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,244,000

£1.18M - £1.31MHigh

Estimate

£1.24M

Range

£1.18M – £1.31M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£5,050

£5k - £6k

Monthly

£5,050

Yield

5.27%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

16 Elstree Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (47/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

47/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 20Bike 31

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +7.6% (HIGH), sold-comps -8.1%, £/sqft -8.1%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013018760· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 13.9%· as of 4 Nov 2026
Rental economics1.7/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.78
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 5050/mo (range 4550-5600)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,270/mo, -25% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 71 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
251 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£862,500£1,322,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,150,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£5,050/mo

Evidenced range £4,550-£5,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £405,050
Net cash flow: -£385/mo
Cash on cash: -1.1%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.30 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013018760Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 13.9%Valuation edge · as of 4 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 5050/mo (range 4550-5600)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 5050/mo (range 4550-5600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 71 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,244,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£5,050

Gross Yield5.27%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.1%

5y Growth+0.6%

10y Growth+1.5%

Last Sold Price£712,500 (2013-03-07)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0WD23 4GG

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/1560/HSE
Erection of single storey rear extension to include new terrace and steps with handrailing; relocation of existing gate; creation of new manhole and installation of new channel drain.
Pending
26/1539/CLP
Conversion of loft to habitable space including hip to gable roof alterations, rear dormer, and 2x front roof lights. Certificate of lawful development (Proposed).
Pending
26/1486/HSE
Two storey side extension, first floor rear extension and alterations to fenestration.
Pending

View Planning Timeline