19 Middle Down, Aldenham, Watford, WD25 8BW

UPRN:10013029684End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (79)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

19 Middle Down, Aldenham, Watford, WD25 8BW

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£862,000

£819k - £905kHigh

Estimate

£862k

Range

£819k – £905k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,600

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,600

Yield

5.24%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

19 Middle Down earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 62/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (3/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

62/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

21/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

3/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 38Bike 21

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 28 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013029684· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.5/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3600/mo (range 3250-3950)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -964/mo, -27% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 28 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 49 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 28 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
205 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£619,000£948,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£825,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,600/mo

Evidenced range £3,250-£3,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £280,050
Net cash flow: -£292/mo
Cash on cash: -1.3%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.29 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013029684Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3600/mo (range 3250-3950)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 28 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 28 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3600/mo (range 3250-3950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 49 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£862,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,600

Gross Yield5.24%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.4%

5y Growth+1.8%

10y Growth+1.8%

Last Sold Price£540,000 (2006-07-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0WD25 8BW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/1490/TRC
Two large sycamore trees at the border with Aldenham Social Club car park, overhanging and touching our house, and overhanging where we park our cars at the end of Red Lion Close. Smaller branches come down in wind on cars. Tree 1 in sketch overhangs cars is approx 12.8m (42ft). We propose a crown reduction by one third 4.3m to approx 8.5m. See photo Tree 2 overhangs and touches house. Approx 9m (30ft) we propose a one third reduction by 3m to 6m, and remove branches touching our house. See photo
Pending
26/1440/FUL
Demolition of existing garage/workshop and erection of a two-storey dwelling with habitable space at loft level. Erection of a triple-bay garage/carport serving High Point, formation of a new vehicular access onto Kemprow and associated hard and soft landscaping, including a timber pergola/gazebo.
Pending
26/1346/TRC
Two large Conifers to be removed and stumps ground to the left hand size of the property
Approved

View Planning Timeline