23 The Water Gardens, Burwood Place, London, W2 2DA

UPRN:10033531286Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: B (81)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

23 The Water Gardens, Burwood Place, London, W2 2DA

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£920,000

£828k - £1.01MMedium

Estimate

£920k

Range

£828k – £1.01M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,900

£4k - £4k

Monthly

£3,900

Yield

5.85%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

23 The Water Gardens earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 74/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is excellent (100/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

74/ 100

High

Crime Score

48/ 100

Elevated

100

Walkability

100/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 96Bike 73

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 11 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +13.0% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033531286· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics5.5/40
gross yield 5.9%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3900/mo (range 3550-4300)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -638/mo, -16% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 53 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
342 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£600,000£920,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£800,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,900/mo

Evidenced range £3,550-£4,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £271,300
Net cash flow: -£0/mo
Cash on cash: -0.0%
Score at this price: 18

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.44 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033531286Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3900/mo (range 3550-4300)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 11 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 11 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3900/mo (range 3550-4300)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£920,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,900

Gross Yield5.85%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-6.8%

5y Growth-4.2%

10y Growth-0.3%

Last Sold Price£160,000 (1997-02-27)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseHigh

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0W2 2DA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/07544/ADFULL
Details of replacement surfacing, soft landscaping and associated foundations pursuant to Condition 4 of planning permission dated 11 June 2026 (RN: 26/02173/FULL).
Pending
26/07538/ADLBC
Detailed drawings showing the water proofing system to be used for the pavement vaults pursuant to condition 3 of listed building consent dated 12th February 2026 (RN 25/07623/LBC)
Pending
26/07539/CLLB
Network Rail contractor to run 125m of white 8mm diameter Openreach fibre telecom cable internally from an existing distribition point in the basement intake room to the fat face store within the station. the cable will be run entirely on existing cable trays, on established cable routes without the need to drill any new holes in brickwork. Please see attacheed annotated photos showing the entire route. We are confident these works are classed as de-minimis however Network Rail consent requires proof of this.
Pending

View Planning Timeline