33B Church Road, Watford, WD17 4PY

UPRN:10090227115Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£386,000

£367k - £405kHigh

Estimate

£386k

Range

£367k – £405k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,900

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,900

Yield

5.70%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

33B Church Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (84/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

84/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 32Bike 51

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 7 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -3.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10090227115· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics5.2/40
gross yield 5.7%; range width penalty ×0.94
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1900/mo (range 1750-2000)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -421/mo, -22% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 7 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 263 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 7 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
178 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£300,000£460,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£400,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,900/mo

Evidenced range £1,750-£2,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £131,300
Net cash flow: -£35/mo
Cash on cash: -0.3%
Score at this price: 20

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.41 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10090227115Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1900/mo (range 1750-2000)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 7 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 7 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1900/mo (range 1750-2000)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£386,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,900

Gross Yield5.70%

1y Growth+6.2%

3y Growth-2.6%

5y Growth-0.5%

10y Growth+0.9%

Last Sold Price£250,000 (2010-09-16)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1WD17 4PY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/00874/TCA
Works to trees in cnservation area - T1 Lime and T2 Lime reduce the overgrowth overhanging neighbouring properties back to the limbs where they were previously cut (see comparision photos)
Pending
26/00873/TPO5
Works to tree T9 - Sycamore under TPO-No.228 - multi-stemmed 12-meter-tall tree growing within 6m of the main building has a large cavity at the base of the two large stems on the building side of the tree, dismantle these two stems safely to remove the risk of failure toward the property
Pending
26/00842/TPO
Works to trees under TPO.No. 51 - T1 Beech - Tip reduce branches on south side to give 2m clearance from property, Remove dead branch, T2 Beech - Reduce crown by reducing branches by a maximum approximately 3m, T8 Beech - Reduce heavy extended limb by reducing branches by a maximum approximately 3m, G1 Mixed Species - Fell Ash, B Norway Maple - Prune away from property to give 1m clearance, C Norway Maple - Fell, D Ash - Fell, T51 Ash - Fell, T27 Western Red Cedar - Fell, T52 Pine - Fell and T47 Sycamore - Reduce crown by reducing branches by a maximum approximately 3m.
Pending

View Planning Timeline