25 Vanacker Court, Larner Road, Erith, DA8 3FL

UPRN:10090796043Flat/MaisonetteBeds -Built -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: B (82)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

25 Vanacker Court, Larner Road, Erith, DA8 3FL

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£304,000

£289k - £320kHigh

Estimate

£304k

Range

£289k – £320k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,950

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,950

Yield

6.69%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

25 Vanacker Court earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 73/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (63/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

73/ 100

High

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

63/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 39Bike 57

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -15.1% (HIGH), sold-comps -34.1%, £/sqft -34.0%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10090796043· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.9%· as of 28 Oct 2026
Rental economics12.7/40
gross yield 6.7%; range width penalty ×0.94
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2050)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -346/mo, -18% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 43 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
232 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£262,500£402,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£350,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,950/mo

Evidenced range £1,800-£2,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £113,800
Net cash flow: £169/mo
Cash on cash: 1.8%
Score at this price: 26

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.65 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10090796043Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.9%Valuation edge · as of 28 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2050)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 43 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£304,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,950

Gross Yield6.69%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.8%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+2.7%

Last Sold Price£280,950 (2017-06-09)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0DA8 3FL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02027/FUL
Conversion of existing garage into habitable room.
Pending
19/02274/FULM05
Application to approve details of condition 11 (details of access) and 12 (proposed access)pursuant to application 19/02274/FULM for Demolition of the existing buildings and erection of 25 dwellings comprising 5 x 4 bed, 7 x 3 bed, 5 x 2 bed houses and 8 x 1 bed supported living apartments together with car parking and associated works
Pending
22/02989/FULMMIN02
Non material amendment to vary condition 4, 9 and 10 and add new condition of approved application 22/02989/FULM which allowed the 'Rearrangement of the existing light industrial Class E(g)(iii) units on the ground floor to form 1 Class E(b) unit and 7 light industrial Class E(g)(iii) units. Formation of 31 live/work units (Sui Generis) by converting the existing upper floors, along with the construction of two additional floors above. Rearrangement of the existing car parking facilities and public realm works'.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership63.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining114 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2017-06-09
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,883

Population Density14,887 /km²

Owner Occupied34%

Age Distribution

0-15 31%16-64 64%65+ 5%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Christ Church (Erith) CofE Primary School
0.3 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Woodside Academy
0.3 mi
GoodImproving
Peareswood Primary School
0.4 mi
Inspected as Peareswood Primary School (URN 101418) on 13 Jul 2010
Leigh Academy Bexley
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

3 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Vanacker Court Larner Road
-
£290k
-
Vanacker Court Larner Road
-
£285k
-
Vanacker Court Larner Road
-
£276k
-
Vanacker Court Larner Road
-
£272k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN