4 Lawrences Close, Coulsdon, CR5 1EY

UPRN:10093049090Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2012-2021

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£647,000

£614k - £679kHigh

Estimate

£647k

Range

£614k – £679k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,600

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,600

Yield

4.95%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Lawrences Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (53/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

53/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 57Bike 30

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0.8/15
claims [AVM +2.6% (HIGH), sold-comps +0.9%, £/sqft +1.0%] → measured edge +0.16pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093049090· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 9.2%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2600/mo (range 2350-2850)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -877/mo, -34% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 61 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
283 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£472,500£724,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£630,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,600/mo

Evidenced range £2,350-£2,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £211,800
Net cash flow: -£326/mo
Cash on cash: -1.8%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.22 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093049090Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 9.2%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2600/mo (range 2350-2850)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2600/mo (range 2350-2850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 61 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£647,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,600

Gross Yield4.95%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.2%

5y Growth+2.8%

10y Growth+2.1%

Last Sold Price£580,000 (2017-01-31)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CR5 1EY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/03025/DISC
Details pursuant to the discharge of Condition 9 (Badger sett) of planning permission 23/04636/FUL (Demolition of existing dwelling (No.88); changes to the existing access; erection of a two-storey dwelling with car parking; and erection of one pair of two-storey semi detached dwellings and five detached two storey dwellings with associated car parking on land to the rear, formation of a new internal access within the site; cycle parking, refuse and recycling stores and soft landscaping)
Pending
26/03027/TRE
T1 Oak - 2 metre Crown Reduction (TPO 85, 2009)
Pending
26/02919/DISC
Details pursuant to condition 4 (sustainable drainage) of planning reference 23/02364/FUL for the construction of a three-bedroom detached dwelling in the rear gardens of nos. 394 and 398 Coulsdon Road with access from Lacey Avenue and provision for parking, cycle storage and refuse storage, granted 23.01.2025.
Pending

View Planning Timeline