Flat 1, Poplar House, 8 Thonrey Close, London, NW9 4DR

UPRN:10093301902Flat/Maisonette1 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: B (82)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

Flat 1, Poplar House, 8 Thonrey Close, London, NW9 4DR

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£379,000

£360k - £398kHigh

Estimate

£379k

Range

£360k – £398k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,950

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,950

Yield

7.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 1 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (46/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

Crime Score

18/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

46/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 49Bike 46

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +14.2% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093301902· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics16.6/40
gross yield 7.2%; range width penalty ×0.94
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2050)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -68/mo, -3% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
373 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£244,000£374,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£325,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,950/mo

Evidenced range £1,800-£2,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £105,050
Net cash flow: £253/mo
Cash on cash: 2.9%
Score at this price: 31

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.78 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093301902Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2050)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2050)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£379,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,950

Gross Yield7.20%

1y Growth+40.2%

3y Growth-4.0%

5y Growth-1.2%

10y Growth+0.7%

Last Sold Price£360,000 (2019-03-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NW9 4DR

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/3956/ADV
Installation of 1no. externally illuminated fascia sign (Part retrospective)
Pending
26/3905/ADV
Installation of internally illuminated suspended entrance sign
Pending
26/3898/FUL
Replacement of the existing main roof covering. Installation of a permanent roof edge protection system. Repairs to rainwater goods. Adaptations to the existing lightning protection system to accommodate roof changes. Provision of infrastructure to facilitate the future installation of photovoltaic (PV) solar panels. Improved main roof access via a staircase rather than existing hooped ladders.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership34.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2019-03-15
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

30 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,239

Population Density-

Owner Occupied50%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 78%65+ 5%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

North London Grammar School
0.3 mi
Inspected by ISI
Colindale Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Saracens High School
0.5 mi
Good
St James' Catholic High School
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

6 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Poplar House, 8 Thonrey Close
-
£680k
-
Poplar House 8 Thonrey Close
-
£680k
-
Poplar House, 8 Thonrey Close
-
£485k
-
Poplar House, 8 Thonrey Close
-
£700k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN