9 Carn y Cefn, Ebbw Vale, NP23 6FG

UPRN:10093453205Detached House bedsBuilt 2022

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: B (83)AI-Powered Intelligence

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· 2mo agoPlanning· 2mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 3mo agoCrime· 2mo agoConnectivity· 3mo agoSchools· 3mo agoAmenities· 3mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

High Potential

Verdict

yesterday

BUY
Strong overall fundamentals
INVESTIGATE
Some risks
AVOID
High risk factors

Confidence

High

Sale Estimate

£295,000

£280k - £310kHigh

Estimate

£295k

Range

£280k – £310k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1kMedium

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

AI Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

AI summary

9 Carn y Cefn earns a BUY rating with HP Score 83/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is rated very low. Tenure is freehold. Verdict and headline figures are derived from the live HomePortfolio API; narrative deep-dives below combine real signals with modelled analytics.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterZoopla ListingsHP Property IntelligenceOfcom Connected NationsMobile Coveragegaz salesONS Census 2021Police.ukPlanIt / LA PortalsHMLR CCODHMLR CovenantsHMLR Price PaidEnvironment Agency RoFRaSDefra Noise MapOSM AmenitiesOfsted / GIAS

HP Score

83/ 100

High

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

0/ 100

Low

Walkability

Low

Transit & Bike

Low

Modelled

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 17 Sept 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/40
claims [sold-comps -2.2%, £/sqft -2.1%] → consensus -2.2% → credited 0.0% after backtest shrinkage; single-source claim - capped pending corroboration; AVM excluded (estimate snapshot 179d old (gate 120d))
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.4%· as of 6 Sept 2026
Rental economics3.6/30
gross yield 5.5%; range width penalty ×0.80
- zoopla_valuationsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1400)· as of 25 Mar 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivation0/20
0 price cut(s), 33 days on market; calibration: cuts mark staleness, credited as negotiation context only
- zoopla_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 17 Sept 2026
Risk & liquidity9.7/10
293 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Calibrated against 6,141 realised listing→HMLR-sale outcomes, estimates taken as-of listing month. A large discount from one source alone is capped - independent sources must agree before it counts fully.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£206,000£316,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£274,995

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £87,549
Net cash flow: -£63/mo
Cash on cash: -0.9%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.35 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.4%Valuation edge · as of 6 Sept 2026
zoopla_valuationsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1400)Rental economics · as of 25 Mar 2026
zoopla_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 17 Sept 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1400)

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the discount as unconfirmed - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
Only one independent source currently supports the valuation edge.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£295,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield-

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.2%

5y Growth+3.6%

10y Growth+4.9%

Last Sold Price£259,995 (2022-06-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskVery low
Subsidence1
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
Landslide3
Air QualityUnknown
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP23 6FG

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/2026/0133
Change of use of the ground floor (units 1 and 2) from Class A2 to Class B1 and associated work
Pending
P/2026/0132
Retrospective planning application for the continued use of premises as a licensed bar (A3 use class)
Pending
P/2026/0127
Application for variation of condition 6 to extend the life permission to extend time scale of application C/2021/0118 (to change of use to A1 use and associated external alterations (including replacement of shop front.))
Pending

View Planning Timeline