Flat 1, Belvoir Heights, 14 Russell Green Close, Purley, CR8 2NR

UPRN:10095496522Purpose Built Flat3 bedsBuilt 2020

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: B (84)

Data freshness:Ownership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

Flat 1, Belvoir Heights, 14 Russell Green Close, Purley, CR8 2NR

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£448,000

£425k - £470kHigh

Estimate

£448k

Range

£425k – £470k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,950

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,950

Yield

5.51%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 1 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 81/100. Investment score 71/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (71/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

81/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

71/ 100

High

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

71/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 39Bike 47

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +5.1% (HIGH), sold-comps +4.1%, £/sqft +4.1%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10095496522· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 7.7%· as of 21 Oct 2026
Rental economics3.6/40
gross yield 5.5%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2100)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -703/mo, -36% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 97 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
299 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£319,000£488,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£425,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,950/mo

Evidenced range £1,800-£2,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £140,050
Net cash flow: -£84/mo
Cash on cash: -0.7%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.36 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10095496522Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 7.7%Valuation edge · as of 21 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2100)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2100)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 97 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£448,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,950

Gross Yield5.51%

1y Growth+71.1%

3y Growth+3.2%

5y Growth+1.9%

10y Growth+1.7%

Last Sold Price£508,000 (2022-05-06)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2CR8 2NR

Approval Rate

0%12mo

Development

low

26/03049/HSE
Alterations, demolition of existing side/front extension, swimming pool, outbuilding, and pergola, and erection of a part single, part two storey front/side/rear extension and external steps
Pending
26/02996/HSE
Retention of pair of electrically operated open-bar steel entrance gates and an adjoining fixed open-bar steel railing panel to the front boundary adjacent to Selcroft Road, together with the temporary retention of plastic mesh hedge guard to the footway side of laurel hedge.
Pending
26/02956/TRE
1 x Lime (right top corner) - Reduce crown height by approx 3m leaving 5-6m reduce lateral crown spread by 2m leaving 2-3m (previous pruning points) 2 x Maple - Reduce by 2.5m to previous pruning points leaving 3-4m 1 x Whitebeam - Reduce crown by apporx 1.5m leaving 2-3m (previous pruning points) 1 x Lime 1 x Maple - Reduce to previous pruning points approx 2-3m leaving 4-5m 1 x Horse chestnut - Reduce crown by approx 2m leaving 3-4m (previous pruning points) (TPO 12, 1988)
Pending

View Planning Timeline