Flat 1, 12 The Nursery, Erith, DA8 2EZ

UPRN:10096984895Flat/MaisonetteBeds -Built 1983-1990

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band AEPC: C (74)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£184,000

£148k - £221kLow

Estimate

£184k

Range

£148k – £221k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,100

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,100

Yield

6.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 1 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (62/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

58/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

62/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 38Bike 52

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

headline score requires valuation_edge (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)

What we could establish

Rental economics11.9/40
gross yield 6.6%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1050-1200)· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -252/mo, -23% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 13 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.3/15
232 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Economics

What happens to your money

Your assumptions

Purchase price£200,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,050-£1,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £62,800
Net cash flow: £87/mo
Cash on cash: 1.7%
Score at this price: -

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.63 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1050-1200)Rental economics · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 13 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 13 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Valuation edge could not be scored
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1100/mo (range 1050-1200)

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Fill the valuation edge gap before relying on the score.
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£184,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,100

Gross Yield6.60%

1y Growth+95.9%

3y Growth+0.8%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+2.7%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0DA8 2EZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02065/FUL
Installation of 2.4m fence to form van loading and parking compound, incorporating vehicle access gates and fire escape/click & collect access gate.
Pending
26/02034/GPDE
The erection of a single storey rear extension, which would extend beyond the rear wall of the original house by 4.00 metres, for which the maximum height would be 3.00 metres, and for which the height of the eaves would be 3.00 metres.
Pending
26/02035/LDCP
Lawful Development Certificate (Proposed) for the conversion of roof space involving alterations to existing roofline, including a hip to gable enlargement, a rear dormer extension and two rooflights to front roofslope.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership63.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,883

Population Density-

Owner Occupied40%

Age Distribution

0-15 26%16-64 65%65+ 9%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Peareswood Primary School
0.1 mi
Inspected as Peareswood Primary School (URN 101418) on 13 Jul 2010
Woodside Academy
0.4 mi
GoodImproving
Fairford Academy Barnehurst
0.4 mi
Good
Haberdashers' Slade Green Primary
0.5 mi
Good

3 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

16 The Nursery
-
£380k
-
Knights Court, 29 The Nursery
-
£190k
-
Knights Court, 29 The Nursery
-
£146k
-
23 The Nursery
-
£390k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN