Flat 23, Effingham Lodge, Surbiton Crescent, Kingston upon Thames, KT1 2LN

UPRN:128022131Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (58)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 23, Effingham Lodge, Surbiton Crescent, Kingston upon Thames, KT1 2LN

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£376,000

£357k - £394kHigh

Estimate

£376k

Range

£357k – £394k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,600

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,600

Yield

5.26%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 23 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (93/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

21/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

93/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 56Bike 69

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 31 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +2.9% (HIGH), sold-comps -2.2%, £/sqft -2.3%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 128022131· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 7%· as of 23 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.8/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1450-1700)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -562/mo, -35% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 31 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 241 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 31 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
184 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£274,000£419,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£365,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,600/mo

Evidenced range £1,450-£1,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £119,050
Net cash flow: -£124/mo
Cash on cash: -1.3%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.30 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 128022131Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 7%Valuation edge · as of 23 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1450-1700)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 31 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 31 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1600/mo (range 1450-1700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 241 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£376,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,600

Gross Yield5.26%

1y Growth+8.7%

3y Growth-8.6%

5y Growth+0.6%

10y Growth+1.0%

Last Sold Price£345,000 (2019-10-31)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0KT1 2LN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02313/TPO
T1: Silver Birch - 0.5-1m Crown reduction.
Pending
26/02309/NMA
Application for a Non-Material Amendment to Planning Permission ref: 25/01574/FUL (Change of use from care home (Use Class C2) to a large House in Multiple Occupation (HMO) providing specialist supported accommodation for vulnerable individuals (Use Class Sui Generis), including associated external alterations, changes to fenestration, provision of refuse storage, vehicle and cycle parking, landscaping and plant). Amendment to relocate the refuse and recycling store.
Pending
26/02290/TCA
T2: Yew - Cut back to fence line on No. 5 side
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership50.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining160 yrs
CovenantsNone
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2019-10-31
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£41,833

Population Density9,436 /km²

Owner Occupied51%

Age Distribution

0-15 14%16-64 72%65+ 14%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Surbiton High School
0.1 mi
Inspected by ISI
Maple Infants' School
0.3 mi
Good
St Andrew's and St Mark's CofE Junior School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
The Hollyfield School and Sixth Form Centre
0.4 mi
Inspected as The Hollyfield School and Sixth Form Centre (URN 102600) on 11 May 2011

1 of 7 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Effingham Lodge Surbiton Crescent
-
£295k
-
Effingham Lodge Surbiton Crescent
-
£425k
-
Effingham Lodge Surbiton Crescent
-
£365k
-
Effingham Lodge Surbiton Crescent
-
£365k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN