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  3. UPRN 100011667502
  4. Valuation & Market

18 Northumberland Road, Manchester, M16 9DP

UPRN:100011667502Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1976-1982
-Council Tax: -EPC: C (69)AI-Powered Intelligence
Data freshness:●Listing· freshListing: fresh, refreshed 6d ago (2026-09-14T03:29:39.594721+00:00)●Price Paid· 2mo agoPrice Paid: ageing, refreshed 2mo ago (2026-08-01T00:05:07.844309+00:00)●Planning· 2mo agoPlanning: ageing, refreshed 2mo ago (2026-07-10T09:43:04.921925+00:00)●EPC· 4mo agoEPC: stale, refreshed 4mo ago (2026-05-20T10:58:39.129138+00:00)●Risk· 3mo agoRisk: ageing, refreshed 3mo ago (2026-07-04T06:46:22.443816+00:00)●Crime· freshCrime: fresh, refreshed today (2026-09-20T01:24:22.764986+00:00)●Connectivity· 3mo agoConnectivity: ageing, refreshed 3mo ago (2026-07-04T20:23:28.637306+00:00)●Amenities· 3mo agoAmenities: ageing, refreshed 3mo ago (2026-07-05T01:45:22.974277+00:00)●Area· Census 2021Area: static reference data (Census 2021); authoritative and does not refresh
AI ValuationFairly ValuedUpdated today
£316,000
Estimated value
Range: £285k - £348k|Last sold: -- (-)

Estimate of £316k for semi-detached houses in Manchester. 270 transactions in the last 12 months; median £293k.

AI Confidence
-
Medium confidence

Value History

Monthly AVM sale-value estimate
Current estimate
£316k
£285k - £348k - Medium confidence
Annualised (CAGR)
+5.66%
Over the full window
Peak estimate
£316k
Aug 2026
From peak
+0.00%
Drawdown from peak
£321k£287k£253k£219k£184k2020202120222023202420252026Peak
AVM estimate (model)Repeat-sales index - M16 district (quarterly)index YoY +17.43%
Growth by window
3m
+4.98%
6m
+13.26%
12m
+12.06%
24m
+18.80%
60m
+25.40%

Rental Market

Monthly
Estimated rent (pcm)
£1,650
/ month
Gross yield
4.29%
Net yield
24.53%
Vacancy trend
12-month change
-
Tenant profile

Market Metrics

6 live signals
Avg Area Price
£293k
4-bed Semi-Detached House
12m Price Growth
-
vs UK avg
Days on Market
38d
Area avg

Investment Analysis

Buy-to-let cashflow + capital returns

25% deposit · IO

Purchase

  • Asking Price£316,000
  • SDLT standard£5,800
  • SDLT BTL surcharge (5%)£15,800
  • Legal + Survey£15,000
  • Refurb (light)£22,120
  • Total All-In Cost£374,720

Funding

  • Deposit (25%)£79,000
  • Mortgage (75% LTV)£237,000
  • Interest Rate5.25%
  • Mortgage TypeInterest Only
  • Cash Required£137,720

Monthly Returns

  • Monthly Rent (est)£1,650
  • Mortgage Payment (IO)-£1,037
  • Management (10%)-£165
  • Insurance-£107
  • Maintenance-£132
  • Monthly Cashflow+£209

Capital Returns

  • 5yr Property Value£431,526
  • 5yr Capital Gain (6.43% pa)+£115,526
  • 5yr Cumulative Rent (net)+£74,760
  • Less mortgage interest-£62,220
  • 5yr Total Return+£128,066

5-Year Projection

BTL · Interest Only
YearProperty ValueEquityCashflow (YTD)Total ReturnROI
Year 1£336,319£99,319+£2,508+£22,82716.6%
Year 2£357,944£120,944+£5,016+£46,96034.1%
Year 3£380,960£143,960+£7,524+£72,48452.6%
Year 4£405,456£168,456+£10,032+£99,48872.2%
Year 5£431,526£194,526+£12,540+£128,06693.0%

Assumes 6.43% pa capital growth (API forecast), 3.0% rental growth, 5.25% IO mortgage held for 5 years, light refurb completed year 0. ROI is on total cash invested (£137,720).

Price Forecast

No forecast available.

Demand & Supply

DemandSupply

    Comparable Sales

    4 matches
    Comparable: 22 NORTHUMBERLAND ROAD
    Recent sale

    22 NORTHUMBERLAND ROAD

    £242k
    Sale price
    £/sqft
    -
    Rent pcm
    -
    Yield
    -
    Comparable: 10 NORTHUMBERLAND ROAD
    Recent sale

    10 NORTHUMBERLAND ROAD

    £140k
    Sale price
    £/sqft
    -
    Rent pcm
    -
    Yield
    -
    Comparable: 12 NORTHUMBERLAND ROAD
    Recent sale

    12 NORTHUMBERLAND ROAD

    £148k
    Sale price
    £/sqft
    -
    Rent pcm
    -
    Yield
    -
    Comparable: 14 NORTHUMBERLAND ROAD
    Recent sale

    14 NORTHUMBERLAND ROAD

    £195k
    Sale price
    £/sqft
    -
    Rent pcm
    -
    Yield
    -

    Area Economic Intelligence

    3 signals
    Signal
    £31,516
    Median Income
    Signal
    1,647
    Population
    Signal
    7.6 / 100
    Deprivation

    Upside Opportunities

    0 levers