159 Coates Way, Watford, WD25 9PF

UPRN:200000936137Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (64)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£547,000

£520k - £575kHigh

Estimate

£547k

Range

£520k – £575k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,150

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,150

Yield

4.69%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

159 Coates Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (39/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

24/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

39/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 10Bike 53

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000936137· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.7%; range width penalty ×0.78
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2150/mo (range 1900-2350)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -870/mo, -40% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 267 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
205 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£412,500£632,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£550,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,900-£2,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £183,800
Net cash flow: -£368/mo
Cash on cash: -2.4%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.16 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000936137Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2150/mo (range 1900-2350)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2150/mo (range 1900-2350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 267 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£547,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,150

Gross Yield4.69%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.4%

5y Growth+1.8%

10y Growth+1.8%

Last Sold Price£380,000 (2015-12-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0WD25 9PF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/00872/NONMAT
Non - material amendment for revised plans and external materials pursuant to planning permission 26/00621/FULH
Pending
26/1630/CLPD
Certificate of Lawfulness Proposed Development: Construction of an outbuilding
Pending
26/00777/HPD
The erection of a single storey rear extension which would extend beyond the rear wall of the original house by 6.0m for which the maximum height would be 3.0m and for which the height of the eaves would be 3.0m
Rejected

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership62.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2015-12-22
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

12 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,615

Population Density-

Owner Occupied76%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 62%65+ 17%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Catherine of Siena Catholic Primary School
0.1 mi
Good
Saint Michael's Catholic High School
0.2 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Garston Manor School
0.3 mi
Good
Coates Way JMI and Nursery School
0.3 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

4 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

175 Coates Way
-
£525k
-
117 Coates Way
-
£540k
-
161 Coates Way
-
£500k
-
155 Coates Way
-
£510k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN