Flat 2, Bailey Court, 2 Lingard Avenue, London, NW9 5PY

UPRN:200157553Flat/Maisonette0 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: B (82)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

Flat 2, Bailey Court, 2 Lingard Avenue, London, NW9 5PY

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£262,000

£236k - £288kMedium

Estimate

£262k

Range

£236k – £288k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,350

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,350

Yield

4.50%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 2 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 84/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (76/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

84/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

Crime Score

6/ 100

Low

Walkability

76/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 68Bike 49

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the advert has 2 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 0 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -37.4% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200157553· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.90
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1450)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -656/mo, -49% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 3 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
373 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£270,000£414,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£360,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,350/mo

Evidenced range £1,250-£1,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £117,300
Net cash flow: -£280/mo
Cash on cash: -2.9%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.11 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200157553Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1450)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1450)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 3 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
3 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£262,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,350

Gross Yield4.50%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-4.0%

5y Growth-1.2%

10y Growth+0.7%

Last Sold Price£242,000 (2016-02-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NW9 5PY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/3904/192
Alterations and extension to roof including part gable wall and increased the width of existing dormer window
Pending
26/3905/ADV
Installation of internally illuminated suspended entrance sign
Pending
26/3898/FUL
Replacement of the existing main roof covering. Installation of a permanent roof edge protection system. Repairs to rainwater goods. Adaptations to the existing lightning protection system to accommodate roof changes. Provision of infrastructure to facilitate the future installation of photovoltaic (PV) solar panels. Improved main roof access via a staircase rather than existing hooped ladders.
Pending

View Planning Timeline