11 Lucas Gardens, London, N2 8HJ

UPRN:200228456Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (68)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 5mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£367,000

£349k - £386kHigh

Estimate

£367k

Range

£349k – £386k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,700

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,700

Yield

5.44%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

11 Lucas Gardens earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 83/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (81/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

83/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

81/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 37Bike 66

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -2.2% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200228456· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics3.2/40
gross yield 5.4%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -463/mo, -27% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 92 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
157 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,700/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: -£89/mo
Cash on cash: -0.9%
Score at this price: 18

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.34 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200228456Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£367,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,700

Gross Yield5.44%

1y Growth+1.5%

3y Growth-4.0%

5y Growth+1.0%

10y Growth+1.3%

Last Sold Price£361,500 (2023-11-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0N2 8HJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/3984/PNH
Single storey rear extension with a proposed depth of 4.5 metres, maximum height of 3.5 metres and eaves height of 2.98 metres
Pending
26/3964/FUL
Part single, part two storey side/rear extension. Roof extension including rear dormer window and 2no. rooflights to front roofslope
Pending
26/3944/NMA
Non-material amendments to planning permission reference 21/0953/FUL dated 19/04/21 for 'Construction of a new roof including increase in ridge height with gable roof feature to front and rear elevations together with 2no dormer windows to rear elevation and one velux window to front elevation to facilitate creation of 1no. self-contained flat with associated parking space, bin store and cycle storage. Alteration to existing front fenestration with provision of Juliette balconies and front porch.' Amendments include changes to the wording of the development description to read, "Construction of a new roof including increase in ridge height with gable roof feature to front and rear elevations together with 2no dormer windows to rear elevation and one velux window to front elevation to facilitate creation of 1no. self-contained flat with bin store and cycle storage. Alteration to existing front fenestration with provision of Juliette balconies and front porch."
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership49.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining120 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2023-11-01
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

13 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,239

Population Density12,475 /km²

Owner Occupied59%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 71%65+ 8%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Bishop Douglass School Finchley
0.2 mi
Good
Tudor Primary School
0.3 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Manorside Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
St Theresa's Catholic Primary School
0.4 mi
Good

4 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

16 Lucas Gardens
-
£274k
-
41 Lucas Gardens
-
£280k
-
36 Lucas Gardens
-
£290k
-
11 Lucas Gardens
-
£362k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN