5 Townsend Court, Townsend Lane, London, NW9 7JL

UPRN:202037839Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

5 Townsend Court, Townsend Lane, London, NW9 7JL

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£354,000

£336k - £372kHigh

Estimate

£354k

Range

£336k – £372k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,800

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,800

Yield

5.76%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

5 Townsend Court earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (66/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

66/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 12Bike 38

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -5.9% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202037839· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics5.6/40
gross yield 5.8%; range width penalty ×0.92
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1950)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -395/mo, -22% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 357 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
373 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,800/mo

Evidenced range £1,700-£1,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: -£19/mo
Cash on cash: -0.2%
Score at this price: 20

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.42 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202037839Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1950)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 357 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£354,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,800

Gross Yield5.76%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-4.0%

5y Growth-1.2%

10y Growth+0.7%

Last Sold Price£325,000 (2016-11-14)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NW9 7JL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/3853/HSE
Single storey rear extension following demolition of the existing extension
Pending
26/2701
Variation of conditions 2 (Approved plans), 4 (Parking/servicing),5 (External materials), 6 (Landscaping & boundary treatment), 7 (Area for storage bins) and 8 (Secure cycle parking) to allow: Replacement of brickwork with render to front, side and rear Alteration to roof profile and height of front porch Alteration to front, side and rear fenestration Installation of steps to rear of dwelling Alterations to landscaping, boundary fencing, refuse and cycle storage arrangements Alteration to rear loading bay of approved appeal decision reference: APP/T5150/W/22/3296875, dated 01/11/2022, relating to Full Planning Permission reference: 21/3094, dated 12/10/2021 for Demolition of single storey storage unit located within the rear service yard of 228 Church Lane and erection of a two storey dwellinghouse with alterations to Church Lane frontage to include new front terrace, the insertion of an additional entrance door and fenestration to rear to access new dwelling
Pending
26/3695/191
Roof extension including hip to gable, rear dormer, 2no. front facing rooflights and new side gable window
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership34.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining118 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2016-11-14
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,871

Population Density-

Owner Occupied64%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 67%65+ 14%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Fryent Primary School
0.2 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Woodfield School
0.3 mi
GoodConcerns
Oliver Goldsmith Primary School
0.5 mi
Good
Bnos Beis Yaakov Primary School
0.5 mi
Good

2 of 8 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Townsend Court Townsend Lane
-
£325k
-
Townsend Court Townsend Lane
-
£237k
-
Townsend Court Townsend Lane
-
£220k
-
Townsend Court Townsend Lane
-
£183k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN