38 Manor Drive, Wembley, HA9 8EF

UPRN:202070838Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£891,000

£846k - £935kHigh

Estimate

£891k

Range

£846k – £935k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,000

£4k - £4k

Monthly

£4,000

Yield

4.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

38 Manor Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 72/100. Investment score 75/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is excellent (88/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

72/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

75/ 100

High

Crime Score

66/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

88/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 86Bike 47

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -34.7% (HIGH), sold-comps -21.6%, £/sqft -21.6%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202070838· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.8%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.0%; range width penalty ×0.85
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4000/mo (range 3650-4350)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,253/mo, -56% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 27 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
256 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£900,000£1,380,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,200,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,000/mo

Evidenced range £3,650-£4,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £425,050
Net cash flow: -£1,281/mo
Cash on cash: -3.6%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.99 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202070838Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.8%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4000/mo (range 3650-4350)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4000/mo (range 3650-4350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 27 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£891,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,000

Gross Yield4.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.6%

5y Growth-0.6%

10y Growth+2.7%

Last Sold Price£450,000 (2011-01-07)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HA9 8EF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/2755
Certificate of lawfulness for proposed rear dormer extension with Juliet balcony, hip to gable roof extension and 3x front rooflights to dwellinghouse.
Pending
26/2731
Advertisement consent for installation of 3x static internally illuminated freestanding signs and 1x static internally illuminated 15-inch digital screen to drive thru of restaurant.
Pending
26/2729
Erection of single storey side extension for a covered winter terrace with new entrance lobby, removal of entrance lobby to front with installation of new fire door, relocation of 2x accessible bays and existing booth window to side, insertion of cycle hoops to front, removal of 5x parking spaces, bollards, signages, alteration to fenestration & side patio, replacement of height restrictors to rear, formations of dropped kerbs to side, repainting of existing shopfront frames and roof and internal reconfiguration to drive thru of restaurant.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership47.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2011-01-07
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

8 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,871

Population Density11,005 /km²

Owner Occupied37%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 72%65+ 9%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Christopher's Prep School
0.1 mi
Inspected by ISI
Wembley Primary School
0.3 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Buxlow School
0.4 mi
Inspected by ISI
Preston Manor School
0.4 mi
Good

2 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

34 Manor Drive
-
£770k
-
34 Manor Drive
-
£650k
-
38 Manor Drive
-
£450k
-
50 Manor Drive
-
£480k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN