15 Hillcroft Crescent, Wembley, HA9 8EE

UPRN:202085268Detached Bungalow6 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£952,000

£905k - £1.00MHigh

Estimate

£952k

Range

£905k – £1.00M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,650

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,650

Yield

4.82%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Hillcroft Crescent earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 66/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is limited (62/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

66/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

Crime Score

66/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

62/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 78Bike 40

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202085268· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.79
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3650/mo (range 3250-4000)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,278/mo, -35% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 71 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
256 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£681,000£1,044,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£908,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,650/mo

Evidenced range £3,250-£4,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £309,100
Net cash flow: -£538/mo
Cash on cash: -2.1%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202085268Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3650/mo (range 3250-4000)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3650/mo (range 3250-4000)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 71 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£952,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,650

Gross Yield4.82%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.6%

5y Growth-0.6%

10y Growth+2.7%

Last Sold Price£442,000 (2008-01-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1HA9 8EE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/2755
Certificate of lawfulness for proposed rear dormer extension with Juliet balcony, hip to gable roof extension and 3x front rooflights to dwellinghouse.
Pending
26/2729
Erection of single storey side extension for a covered winter terrace with new entrance lobby, removal of entrance lobby to front with installation of new fire door, relocation of 2x accessible bays and existing booth window to side, insertion of cycle hoops to front, removal of 5x parking spaces, bollards, signages, alteration to fenestration & side patio, replacement of height restrictors to rear, formations of dropped kerbs to side, repainting of existing shopfront frames and roof and internal reconfiguration to drive thru of restaurant.
Pending
26/2731
Advertisement consent for installation of 3x static internally illuminated freestanding signs and 1x static internally illuminated 15-inch digital screen to drive thru of restaurant.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership47.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2008-01-28
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,871

Population Density-

Owner Occupied37%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 72%65+ 9%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Christopher's Prep School
0.2 mi
Inspected by ISI
Wembley Primary School
0.2 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Park Lane Primary School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Buxlow School
0.3 mi
Inspected by ISI

2 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

16 Hillcroft Crescent
-
£660k
-
12 Hillcroft Crescent
-
£725k
-
32 Hillcroft Crescent
-
£776k
-
1 Hillcroft Crescent
-
£840k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN