168 Bilsby Lodge, Chalklands, Wembley, HA9 9DY

UPRN:202118637Purpose Built Flat3 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

168 Bilsby Lodge, Chalklands, Wembley, HA9 9DY

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£328,000

£312k - £345kHigh

Estimate

£328k

Range

£312k – £345k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,600

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,600

Yield

5.26%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

168 Bilsby Lodge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 77/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is good (78/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

77/ 100

High

Crime Score

69/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

78/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 38Bike 50

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -11.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202118637· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics2/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.95
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1700)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -709/mo, -44% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 29 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
256 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£274,000£419,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£365,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,600/mo

Evidenced range £1,500-£1,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £119,050
Net cash flow: -£124/mo
Cash on cash: -1.3%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.30 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202118637Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1700)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 29 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£328,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,600

Gross Yield5.26%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.6%

5y Growth-0.6%

10y Growth+2.7%

Last Sold Price£340,000 (2017-09-29)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HA9 9DY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/2731
Advertisement consent for installation of 3x static internally illuminated freestanding signs and 1x static internally illuminated 15-inch digital screen to drive thru of restaurant.
Pending
26/2729
Erection of single storey side extension for a covered winter terrace with new entrance lobby, removal of entrance lobby to front with installation of new fire door, relocation of 2x accessible bays and existing booth window to side, insertion of cycle hoops to front, removal of 5x parking spaces, bollards, signages, alteration to fenestration & side patio, replacement of height restrictors to rear, formations of dropped kerbs to side, repainting of existing shopfront frames and roof and internal reconfiguration to drive thru of restaurant.
Pending
26/2728
Non-material amendment to wording of conditions 23 (lifts) and 24 (full fibre connectivity) of Full Planning Permission reference 18/4767 dated 30 March, 2023, for Demolition of the existing building and erection of five buildings comprising self-storage space, office space and retail/commercial space, with residential units (Use Class C3) on the upper levels, new landscaping and public realm, ancillary servicing and plant, car and cycle parking, and associated works, subject to Deed of Agreement dated 30th March 2023 under Section 106 of Town and Country Planning Act 1990, as amended.
Pending

View Planning Timeline