Flat 3, Thornbury Court, 36–38 Chepstow Villas, London, W11 2RE

UPRN:217013299Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt before 1900

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (74)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 2mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 3, Thornbury Court, 36–38 Chepstow Villas, London, W11 2RE

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£851,000

£809k - £894kHigh

Estimate

£851k

Range

£809k – £894k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,600

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,600

Yield

5.43%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 3 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is excellent (97/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

43/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

97/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 89Bike 72

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +6.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 217013299· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics2.8/40
gross yield 5.4%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3600/mo (range 3250-3950)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -838/mo, -23% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 64 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
192 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£596,000£914,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£795,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,600/mo

Evidenced range £3,250-£3,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £269,550
Net cash flow: -£191/mo
Cash on cash: -0.8%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.34 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 217013299Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3600/mo (range 3250-3950)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3600/mo (range 3250-3950)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£851,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,600

Gross Yield5.43%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-3.7%

5y Growth-0.9%

10y Growth-0.5%

Last Sold Price£860,000 (2016-01-07)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0W11 2RE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/07268/P3JPA
Prior Approval for the conversion of existing ground-floor commercial/business/service space (Use Class E) to Class C3 use, together with internal layout changes, to form 1no. two-bedroom flat under Class MA, Part 3, Schedule 2 of the Town and Country Planning (General Permitted Development) Order 2015 (as amended).
Pending
26/07185/FULL
Rebuilding of rear garden wall forming the boundary with Bridstow Place (Site include Nos 51a and 53a Hereford Road).
Pending
26/07158/FULL
Replacement of the existing shopfront, installation of a new double glazed doors and side windows and new separate entrance to the flats above.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership58.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsNone
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2016-01-07
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£46,690

Population Density-

Owner Occupied43%

Age Distribution

0-15 15%16-64 69%65+ 16%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Colville Primary School
0.1 mi
Outstanding
Southbank International School Kensington
0.3 mi
Inspected by ISI
Wetherby School
0.3 mi
Inspected by ISI
St. Mary of the Angels Catholic Primary School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

2 of 5 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Thornbury Court, 36 - 38 Chepstow Villas
-
£1.13M
-
Thornbury Court, 36 - 38 Chepstow Villas
-
£3.85M
-
Thornbury Court, 36 - 38 Chepstow Villas
-
£1.06M
-
Thornbury Court, 36 - 38 Chepstow Villas
-
£850k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN