43 OAK TREE RISE
Recent sale
£310k
Sale price
£/sqft
-
Rent pcm
-
Yield
-
29 Oak Tree Rise, Merthyr Tydfil, CF47 0SN
UPRN:10034657583Detached House4 bedsBuilt -
FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: -
Data freshness:Listing· freshListing: fresh, refreshed yesterday (2026-10-23T04:00:04.135672+00:00)Planning· 4mo agoPlanning: stale, refreshed 4mo ago (2026-07-10T08:23:34.892047+00:00)Risk· 2y agoRisk: stale, refreshed 2y ago (2024-12-31T00:00:00+00:00)Amenities· 1mo agoAmenities: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00)Area· Census 2021Area: static reference data (Census 2021); authoritative and does not refresh
Valuation estimateUpdated yesterday
£266,000
Estimated value
Range: £252k - £279k|Last sold: £170k (2015-06-12)
Estimate of £266k for this detached house. 166 sales in CF47 in the last 12 months; median £137k.
Estimate confidence
High confidence
Value History
Current estimate
£266k
£252k - £279k - High confidence
Annualised (CAGR)
+2.04%
Over the full window
Peak estimate
£323k
May 2026
From peak
-17.65%
Drawdown from peak
AVM estimate (model)Repeat-sales index - CF47 district (quarterly)index YoY +3.15%
Growth by window
3m
-16.88%
6m
-12.21%
12m
-16.88%
24m
-14.74%
60m
+3.50%
Rental Market
Estimated rent (pcm)
£1,150
/ month
Gross yield
6.70%
Rent ÷ asking price
Net yield
4.64%
Assumes ~31% running costs (not this property's)
Vacancy trend
12-month change
Market Metrics
Median Area Price
£137k
CF47 sales, last 12 months
12m Price Growth
-
CF47 median, Land Registry
Days on Market
85d
CF47 average
Sales & Yield
3 metricsTransactions / 12m
166
CF47 sales
Area Gross Yield
4.01%
CF47 medians
Last Sold
£170k
2015-06-12
Investment Analysis
Buy-to-let cashflow + capital returns
Purchase
- Asking Price£205,995
- SDLT standard£1,620
- SDLT BTL surcharge (5%)£10,300
- Legal, survey + broker (assumed)£2,100
- RefurbishmentNot costed
- Total Cost (excl. refurb)£220,015
Funding
- Deposit (25%)£51,499
- Mortgage (75% LTV)£154,496
- Interest Rate (assumed)5.25%
- Mortgage TypeInterest Only
- Cash Required£65,519
Monthly Returns
- Monthly Rent (estimate)£1,150
- Mortgage Payment (IO)-£676
- Management (10%)-£115
- Insurance (assumed)-£40
- Maintenance (assumed)-£60
- Monthly Cashflow+£259
Capital Returns
- 5yr Property Value£268,335
- 5yr Capital Gain (5.43% pa, historical)+£62,340
- 5yr Cumulative Rent (net)+£58,640
- Less mortgage interest-£40,560
- 5yr Total Return+£80,420
Modelled on the live asking price. Assumed, as in the PDF report: 25% deposit, 5.25% interest-only mortgage, management 10% of rent, insurance £40/mo, maintenance £60/mo, legal, survey and broker £2,100. Refurbishment, voids and letting fees are not costed.
5-Year Projection
| Year | Property Value | Equity | Cashflow (cumulative) | Total Return | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | £217,181 | £62,684 | +£3,108 | +£14,294 | 21.8% |
| Year 2 | £228,973 | £74,477 | +£6,468 | +£29,446 | 44.9% |
| Year 3 | £241,407 | £86,910 | +£10,074 | +£45,485 | 69.4% |
| Year 4 | £254,515 | £100,019 | +£13,942 | +£62,462 | 95.3% |
| Year 5 | £268,335 | £113,839 | +£18,080 | +£80,420 | 122.7% |
Modelled on the live asking price. Capital growth 5.43% a year is the CF47 area's 5-year historical rate (Land Registry medians), not a forecast. Rent grows 2% a year (assumed); management is 10% of each year's rent. Mortgage held interest-only at 5.25% for 5 years. Refurbishment, voids and letting fees are not costed. ROI is on cash required (£65,519).
Price Forecast
No forecast available.
Demand & Supply
DemandSupply
Comparable Sales
19 OAK TREE RISE
Recent sale
£216k
Sale price
£/sqft
-
Rent pcm
-
Yield
-
12 OAK TREE RISE
Recent sale
£280k
Sale price
£/sqft
-
Rent pcm
-
Yield
-
22 OAK TREE RISE
Recent sale
£300k
Sale price
£/sqft
-
Rent pcm
-
Yield
-
Area Economic Intelligence
Signal
£31,504
Median earnings (local authority)
Signal
1,534
Population
Signal
3.8%
Households Deprived