33 Carpenter Road, Birmingham, B15 2JH

UPRN:100070316783Detached House4 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (74)AI-Powered Intelligence

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 1mo agoEPC· freshRisk· 2mo agoConnectivity· 2mo agoSchools· 2mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

High Potential

Verdict

yesterday

BUY
Strong fundamentals
INVESTIGATE
Some risks
AVOID
Significant risk factors

Confidence

High

Sale Estimate

£1,292,000

£1.23M - £1.36MHigh

Estimate

£1.29M

Range

£1.23M – £1.36M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,700

£4k - £5kMedium

Monthly

£4,700

Yield

6.00%

AI Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

AI summary

33 Carpenter Road earns a AVOID rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (66/100). Flood risk is rated very low. Tenure is freehold. Verdict and headline figures are derived from the live HomePortfolio API; narrative deep-dives below combine real signals with modelled analytics.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterZoopla ListingsHP Property IntelligenceOfcom Connected NationsMobile Coveragevalue historyplanning signalsHP Walkability v2ONS Census 2021Police.ukPlanIt / LA PortalsHMLR LeasesHMLR Price PaidEnvironment Agency RoFRaSDefra Noise MapOSM AmenitiesOfsted / GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

High

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

9/ 100

Low

Walkability

66/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Moderate

Real Data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 20 Aug 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge18/40
claims [AVM +22.6% (HIGH)] → consensus +22.6% → credited 3.0% after backtest shrinkage; single-source claim - capped pending corroboration
- zoopla_valuationsestimate for 100070316783· as of 11 Aug 2026
Rental economics4.8/30
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.75
- zoopla_valuationsrent estimate 4700/mo (range 4150-5200)· as of 11 Aug 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivation15/20
1 price cut(s), 94 days on market; calibration: cuts mark staleness, credited as negotiation context only
- zoopla_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 20 Aug 2026
Risk & liquidity9.8/10
105 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Calibrated against 6,141 realised listing→HMLR-sale outcomes, estimates taken as-of listing month. A large discount from one source alone is capped - independent sources must agree before it counts fully.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£750,000£1,150,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,000,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,700/mo

Evidenced range £4,150-£5,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £345,050
Net cash flow: -£121/mo
Cash on cash: -0.4%
Score at this price: 48

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.39 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

zoopla_valuationsestimate for 100070316783Valuation edge · as of 11 Aug 2026
zoopla_valuationsrent estimate 4700/mo (range 4150-5200)Rental economics · as of 11 Aug 2026
zoopla_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 20 Aug 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4700/mo (range 4150-5200)

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the discount as unconfirmed - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
Only one independent source currently supports the valuation edge.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,292,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,700

Gross Yield6.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.3%

5y Growth-0.6%

10y Growth+4.8%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskVery low
Subsidence1
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
Landslide1
Air QualityUnknown
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0B15 2JH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/04862/PA
Application to determine the details for condition number 4. (surface water drainage) attached to planning application 2023/05174/PA.
Pending
2026/04380/PA
Application to determine the details for condition number 9 (ecological/biodiversity/enhancement measures) and 21 (green/brown roofs) attached to planning permission 2023/05174/PA
Pending
2026/03578/PA
Display of no.1 single sided post sign
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership20.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining49 yrs
CovenantsNone
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median Household Income£33,374

Population Density2,652 /km²

Owner Occupied54%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 63%65+ 18%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Priory School
0.2 mi
Inspected by ISI
West House School
0.3 mi
Inspected by ISI
Oasis Academy Woodview
0.4 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
St George's School Edgbaston
0.5 mi
Inspected by ISI

2 of 4 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2025 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

30 Carpenter Road
-
£1.10M
-
34 Carpenter Road
-
£475k
-
32 Carpenter Road
-
£650k
-
34A Carpenter Road
-
£475k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN