Flat 28, The Birches, Station Road, London, E12 5BS

UPRN:46070325Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (72)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 2mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 28, The Birches, Station Road, London, E12 5BS

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£243,000

£231k - £255kHigh

Estimate

£243k

Range

£231k – £255k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,450

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,450

Yield

8.70%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 28 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 74/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is good (77/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

74/ 100

High

Crime Score

49/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

77/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 49Bike 69

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 18% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +17.7% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 46070325· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics29.4/40
gross yield 8.7%; range width penalty ×0.99; the estimate this rent rides on sits 18% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1400-1550)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 18% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin1.8/30
stressed cash flow +26/mo, +2% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); passes the stress
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 3 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
130 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £150,000

£150,000£230,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£200,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,450/mo

Evidenced range £1,400-£1,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £62,800
Net cash flow: £329/mo
Cash on cash: 6.3%
Score at this price: 46

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.15 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 46070325Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1400-1550)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 18% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1450/mo (range 1400-1550)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 18% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
3 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £150,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£243,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,450

Gross Yield8.70%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.7%

5y Growth+1.5%

10y Growth+3.6%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0E12 5BS

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02235/HH
Erection of two storey rear extension and a side extension (This application is in the Woodgrange Estate Conservation area)
Pending
26/02234/PREHH
Prior notification application for the construction of a single-storey ground floor rear extension. The details submitted are as follows: The proposed extension will extend beyond the rear wall by 5.60m The maximum height of the proposed extension from the natural ground level is 3.15m The height at eaves level of the proposed extension measured from the natural ground level is 2.90m
Pending
26/02191/TCA
T1 - Bay Tree - Proposed crown reduction to approximately 3.5m in height and 2.5/3m in overall spread, lateral reduction concentrated on pavement-facing growth to bring the crown back within the front boundary. (This application is in the Durham Road Conservation Area.)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership65.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining102 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

14 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,080

Population Density13,706 /km²

Owner Occupied26%

Age Distribution

0-15 25%16-64 68%65+ 7%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Salisbury Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
Avenue Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Sir John Heron Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
Monega Primary School
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

2 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

28 The Birches
-
£230k
-
19 The Birches
-
£243k
-
19 The Birches
-
£160k
-
21 The Birches
-
£160k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN